Risers/Fallers

Updated - 1-21-13

By: Alex Khvatov

 

2013 Senior Bowl
 
These are the players who have helped and hurt their stock during the week of practice at the 2013 Senior Bowl.    
 
Risers

 
WR Quinton Patton (Louisiana Tech) – He was the most impressive receiver during the week of practice.  Patton used his quickness in and out of his cuts to create separation.  He also displayed consistent hands.  He should be a second round pick. 

 
WR Markus Wheaton (Oregon State) – Wheaton is a speedy wideout with reliable hands.  He showed great hand/eye concentration.  He used his quickness to get off the line of scrimmage.  He should develop into a reliable slot receiver at the next level.  Late third/early fourth round. 
 
OT Eric Fisher (Central Michigan) – He was the most dominant player at the Senior Bowl.  He has ideal size, strength and athleticism.  He has long arms and quick feet.  His pass protection skills were superb.  He should be a top 10 pick. 
 
DE Datone Jones (UCLA) – Jones is a very versatile player.  He can play in a number of different schemes.  He has good size (6’4, 280 pounds) and great strength.  He also displayed surprising quickness.  He could very well sneak into the first round. 
 
CB Desmond Trufant (Washington) – He was the most technically sound corner in Mobile.  He showed great footwork and recovery speed.  Trufant was effective playing press and off-man coverage during the week.  I have a second round grade on him.
 
CB Leon McFadden (San Diego State) – He really stood out during the week.  He made plays.  McFadden showed good ball skills and the ability to stay with receivers downfield.   He was mostly effective in press coverage.  Concerns about his size will keep him in the third round.    
 
Fallers
 
QB Zac Dysert (Miami, OH) – He struggled more than any other QB at Mobile.  He couldn’t find any type of consistency.  His mechanics and footwork need improvement.  He was late with a lot of his throws.  He struggled with his accuracy on deep throws.  He should be drafted in the fourth round. 
 
WR Aaron Mellette (Elon) – Even though he has good size at 6’2, 216 pounds, he plays more like a finesse player.  He showed inconsistent hands throughout the week.  He also had trouble creating separation against defensive backs at the Senior Bowl.  He looks like a mid-round pick. 
 
C Braxston Cave (Notre Dame) – He is an experienced center that had a very good senior campaign.  But Cave had a tough time containing DL in one-on-one drills during the week.  He had a difficult time dealing with stronger DTs.  He lacked power and brute strength.    
 
DE Michael Buchanan (Illinois) – Buchanan is not a traditional 4-3 DE.  He should definitely think about making the switch to hybrid OLB in a 3-4 defensive scheme.  He lacks strength and power.  Buchanan lacks any type of pass rush moves.  He struggled getting off blocks. 
 
DE Margus Hunt (SMU) – He has ideal size and strength.  He is also an athletic freak of nature.  Unfortunately, those tools haven’t translated onto the football field.  He is very raw.  Hunt was consistently handled in one-on-one situations throughout the Senior Bowl week.  
 
CB Will Davis (Utah State) – He was the least impressive corner at the Senior Bowl considering all of the hype that he received coming into the week.  He struggled with his technique.  Davis was beaten regularly by the faster receivers.  He also didn’t show the necessary recovery speed.
 

 

Bowl Edition:

Risers

Junior QB David Fales (San Jose State) – He completed 33/43 passes for 395 passing yards and two TDs.  He has a very a good arm.  Fales demonstrated that he is capable of making all of the necessary throws at the next level.  He was incredibly efficient as a passer against Bowling Green in the bowl game.  Keep an eye on this QB next year.    
 

Senior OT Eric Fisher (Central Michigan) – He had a dominant game against Western Kentucky.  Fisher was terrific in pass protection.  He made it look easy.  He showed off his athleticism and quickness.  He is not a great run blocker, but he more than held his own during this game.      
 

Senior DE Alex Okafor (Texas) – He recorded 8 tackles, 6.0 TFLs and 4.5 sacks.  Okafor had a dominant performance against the Beavers.  He was unblockable.  He looked explosive coming off the edge.  Okafor showed strong and active hands.  His stock will rise after this performance.    
 

Senior DE Margus Hunt (SMU) – Hunt had the best game of his career by recording three tackles, three TFLs, two sacks, two forced fumbles and a safety.  He is a big, athletic DL with a lot of upside.  He used his strength and showed his quickness in wreaking havoc against the Bulldogs.  Hunt is one of the more intriguing prospects in the draft.          
 

Junior LB Kyle Van Noy (BYU) – He recorded 8 tackles, 3.5 TFLs, 1.5 sacks, forced fumble (recovered for a TD) and an INT (returned for a TD) against San Diego State.  Van Noy single-handedly harassed Aztecs’ QB and disrupted offensive rhythm.  He looked very quick and athletic.   He has announced that he will return for his senior season.       

 

Fallers
 

Senior QB Geno Smith (West Virginia) – Smith completed 16/24 passes for 197 passing yards and two TDs.  The weather conditions weren’t good.  It was snowing throughout the game, and the passing offenses struggled.  But Smith had an off-night.  He struggled with his accuracy.  He failed to recognize the blitz on a couple of occasions.  His biggest completions during the game came off bubble screens.  Smith is not a top 10 pick.    
 

Senior RB Johnathan Franklin (UCLA) – Franklin rushed for only 34 yards on 14 carries.  The school’s all-time leading rusher wasn’t able to find much running room on the football field.  He looked hesitant and indecisive hitting the hole.  To be completely fair, a couple of starting OL did go down with an injury, but Franklin didn’t want to end his career on a down note.       

 

 

Week 13

Risers

Junior DE Bjoern Werner (Florida State) – He had six total tackles, 3.5 sacks and a recovered fumble against the Gators.  Werner was able to get consistent pressure on the opposing QB by using his speed to get around the tackle.  He demonstrated his quick first step and near flawless technique throughout the game.  I am projecting him to be a top 10 pick in the 2013 Draft. 

Senior DT Jordan Hill (Penn State) – This was his best performance of the season.  Hill had 12 tackles, two sacks and three TFLs against the Badgers.  He has gotten quicker and stronger this season.  He also has a non-stop motor.  He is one of the more underrated DL in the nation.  He should be a third round pick in next years draft.

Junior LB Kevin Minter (LSU) – Minter has been the most consistent defender for the Tigers this season.  He is a great run defender.  He is always around the ball.  He relies on his instincts.  During last Saturday’s game, he had a number of pass break-ups in coverage.  He looks like a late 1st/early 2nd round pick.   

 

Fallers 

Senior QB EJ Manuel (Florida State) – He has all of the physical tools to be a franchise QB at the next level.  He had some nice performances during this season.  But he came up short against the Gators in the season finale when all eyes were on him.  Manuel completed only 54% of his passes for 182 yards and had three picks.  He struggled with his accuracy and couldn’t get into any type of rhythm.  His decision making was subpar.  He looked confused at times when the Gators mixed up their coverage.  He looks like a third round pick.       

Senior DE Cornellius Carradine (Florida State) – Tank had 80 total tackles, 13.0 TFLs and 11 sacks during his breakout senior season.  He had another good performance against the Gators.  But he suffered a torn ACL late in the fourth quarter.  This is a serious setback for Carradine who looked like a possible first round pick.  This current injury will hurt his draft stock considerably.    

 

Week 12

Risers

Senior QB Mike Glennon (North Carolina State) –
Glennon has been one of the favorite topics recently in draft circles.  His stock is on the rise.  He had another good performance against Clemson (493 passing yards and five TDs).  He has ideal size (6’6, 232 pounds) and arm strength.  He throws a very good deep ball.  He has surprising athleticism and shows the ability to throw on the run.  He has good pocket awareness and mechanics.  Glennon consistently completed throws under pressure against Clemson.  But he does have a tendency to force throws into tight coverage.  He also shows inconsistent ball placement.  I currently have a second round grade on him.

Junior QB Tajh Boyd (Clemson) –
He completed 30/44 passes for 426 passing yards and five passing TDs.  Boyd also ran for 103 yards and three TDs against NC State.  I have seen significant improvement in Boyd’s game this year.  He has improved his accuracy and has become more of a running threat in 2012.  Boyd has a quick release and a lively arm.  Boyd should think about entering the 2013 NFL draft considering this is a weak QB class.  

Senior RB Montee Ball (Wisconsin) –
Ball rushed for 191 yards on 39 carries and had a score that tied FBS TD record against Ohio State.  He doesn’t have ideal size, power or speed that scouts look for.  He is a tough inside the tackles runner.  He gets stronger as the game wears on.  He demonstrates good balance.  Ball has great acceleration through the hole.  He has put up amazing stats the last two seasons.  He is my top senior RB in next year’s draft.      

Senior RB Montel Harris (Temple) –
He had 36 carries for 351 rushing yards and seven TDs against Army.  It was a career game for Harris.  He transferred to Temple for his senior season after he was dismissed from Boston College.  He is a patient runner with good vision.  Harris is a good receiver out of the backfield.  He lacks that burst and has a long history with knee issues.  He would be a good candidate in a zone-blocking scheme.  He should be picked in the last two rounds of the draft.

Senior WR Tavon Austin (West Virginia) –
Austin set a Big 12 record with 572 all-purpose yards against Oklahoma.  It was one of the best performances of all-time.  He was inserted as a RB and rushed for 344 yards along with 82 receiving yards and 148 yards in the return game.  Austin is an explosive player.  He is extremely elusive after the catch.  He uses his great speed to his advantage and has that second gear.  You can line him up in the slot or in the backfield, can be used on reverses and in the return game.  He could be a terrific slot receiver at the next level.    

Senior WR Alec Lemon (Syracuse) –
He had 12 catches for 244 yards and two TDs against Missouri.  Lemon has been the primary target for Ryan Nassib this year.  He is a possession receiver.  He has reliable hands.  He is a physical guy and tough to bring down after the catch.  Lemon’s strength is catching the ball in a crowd.  He finds soft spots in zone coverage.  He should be selected in the 6th or the 7th round of the draft.    

Senior WR Tobais Palmer (North Carolina State) –
Palmer had a memorable performance with 496 all-purpose yards against Clemson.  He had seven receptions for 219 receiving yards and three TDs.  He is 5’11, 175 pounds with 4.4 speed.  He is a vertical threat.  He uses his speed to blow by defenders.  He should contribute as a return specialist early on in the NFL with the ability to develop into a solid No.3 or No.4 guy.  He should be an undrafted free agent.          

Junior TE Zach Ertz (Stanford) –
Junior TE had 11 catches for 106 yards and a TD in the big win against Oregon last weekend.  He has soft hands.  Ertz has shown the ability to make the tough catches this season.  He is a big target who shows the ability to be a downfield threat in the passing game.  Against Oregon, I was impressed with his run blocking skills.  He uses his strength and his long arms to his advantage.        

Senior DE John Simon (Ohio State) –
Simon had six tackles and four sacks against the Badgers.  He is a leader of the Buckeyes’ defense.  He has a non-stop motor.  He shows incredible strength.  He is a tireless work ethic.  He is a very good run defender.  He is one of the more underrated players available in the draft.

Senior LB Shayne Skov (Stanford) –
He had his best game of the season in the win against Oregon (10 total tackles).  He was making plays all over the field.  Skov is a very good run defender.  He is a tough player that can fight through the trash.  He is also an underrated blitzer.  He would be a great a fit as an ILB in a 3-4 defense.  I currently have him as a late 2nd/early 3rd round pick.       

Junior CB Logan Ryan (Rutgers) –
Ryan is one of the more underrated defenders in the nation.  He should be a late first/early second round pick if he decides to enter the draft after his junior season.  He had six tackles and recorded his fourth interception of the season against the Bearcats.  He is a tough corner with good size.  He has good speed and athleticism.  He attacks the ball at its highest point like a receiver.  He has excellent ball skills and very good leaping ability.         

Fallers


Senior QB Matt Barkley (USC) –
Barkley is less than 6'2 and doesn't have a strong arm.  But his decision making has been troubling this season.  He has thrown a total of 15 interceptions and had multiple picks in six games in 2012.  He suffered a shoulder injury against UCLA and will not play in the season finale against Notre Dame.  There is hope that he could return in time for the bowl game.  His stock is down at the moment after a disappointing senior campaign, but he should be a mid/late first round pick.   He has 47 starts under his belt, has operated in a pro-style offense, has good mechanics, shows nice touch, demonstrates good leadership skills, high IQ and understanding of the game.   

Senior LB Michael Mauti (Penn State) –
Mauti was having an excellent season for Penn State.  He is a tough run defender with terrific tackling technique.  He was a leader of the defense.  He re-injured his left knee last Saturday.  He is now lost for the season.  He has the talent level to be a second round pick, but he has a long medical history.  He will be a great value pick on day three.    

Junior CB David Amerson (North Carolina State) –
Amerson had bad games against Tennessee and Miami, FL this season.  After seeing him struggle against Clemson, I am convinced that he should make the switch to safety at the next level.  He only has average speed and struggles against quicker receivers.  He also has some tightness in his hips and has a difficult time turning and running with receivers downfield.  He has ideal size and ball skills.  He is also a good run defender.  He has a chance to become a very good safety in the NFL.   

 


Week 11

Risers


Junior OT Luke Joeckel (Texas A&M) –
Joeckel has established himself as the top OL in the 2013 NFL Draft.  He should be a top five pick if he decides to leave early.  He is very similar to Joe Thomas in terms of the skill set when he was coming out of Wisconsin.  Against Alabama, he demonstrated once again that he can handle speed rushers with ease.  He looked dominant in pass protection.  He is very quick off the ball and shows terrific lateral movement.  Joeckel is an athletic tackle with long arms and good knee bend. 

Senior DE Cornellius “Tank” Carradine (Florida State) –
Tank Carradine has played exceptionally well all season long.  He had another strong game against the Hokies.  He recorded 11 total tackles and one sack.  He is rapidly improving his draft stock every week, and there are many in the draft community that have a first round grade on him.  I currently have an early second round grade on him.  He is very strong and has a good frame.  He knows how to use his hands.  He has shown the ability to get to the QB (nine sacks during his senior campaign).  Carradine is also a good run defender.       

Senior LB Khaseem Greene (Rutgers) –
Greene had 22 tackles against Army last week.  I currently have a second round grade on him, and he is one of my favorite prospects in the draft.  He is an athletic LB with great speed.  He is a reliable tackling machine.  He is a former safety who shows very good coverage skills.  He is an ideal weakside LB in a 4-3 defense or cover 2 scheme.  Concerns about his less than ideal size will hurt his draft stock. 

Fallers

Senior Safety Robert Lester (Alabama) –
No one struggled more than Robert Lester in the loss against the Aggies.  He didn’t take good angles to the football.  He missed a few tackles in the open field.  He hasn’t looked comfortable in coverage all season long.  There were high hopes for him coming into the season that he will be a first round pick.  I currently have a third round grade on him.               
 

 

Week 9

Risers

Junior LB Jarvis Jones (Georgia) – Jones has been fairly quiet after his strong performance against Missouri early on in the season.  He hasn’t been completely healthy ever since that game.  But last week he had a coming out party and had a huge game in the upset win against Florida.  He recorded 13 tackles, three sacks and two forced fumbles.  He saved his best play until the end.  He forced a fumble at the five-yard line with 2:05 left on the clock to seal the win.  Jones is a game changer.  He is a disruptive LB that uses his quick first step to beat the OL and get to the QB.  He is the best pass rusher available in next year’s draft and would be ideal for a 3-4 defense.  He should be a top 10 pick.        

 

Redshirt Sophomore RB Giovanni Bernard (North Carolina) – Even before Marcus Lattimore went down with a season-ending injury, I thought that Bernard was clearly the best back in the 2013 NFL Draft.  He should be a first round pick.  He had 23 carries for 135 rushing yards on the ground.  He also had eight catches for 85 yards.  His 74-yard punt return at the end of the fourth quarter gave the Tar Heels the win against NC State.  He is very versatile and can hurt you in a number of ways.  He is a tough back who explodes through the hole.  I have also noticed that Bernard gets stronger as the game wears on which is an important trait for a RB.   

 

Senior QB Ryan Nassib (Syracuse) – Matt Scott of Arizona played well against USC, but I was more impressed with Nassib this week.  He completed 27/40 passes for 328 yards, four TDs and zero picks.  He brought Syracuse back from a 20-point halftime deficit against South Florida.  He was clutch in the fourth quarter.  He was decisive with the football during this game.  He seems to have a very good understanding of the offense that he plays in.  Nassib made good decisions and anticipated his throws.  He spread the ball around to different receivers.  He is an underrated QB that is moving up draft boards.        

 

Senior CB D.J. Hayden (Houston) – Senior CB had four total tackles and two picks last week.  One of the interceptions was returned for a 95-yard TD.  Hayden transferred from a junior college last year.  He has become a defensive leader this season.  He has good height and a nice frame.  He has good ball skills and is active against run support.  He has average speed and tight hips which will hurt his draft stock.  
 

Fallers

 

Junior RB Marcus Lattimore (South Carolina) – Lattimore suffered a devastating right knee injury against Tennessee.  He will now be out for the season.  He will go through a long road of recovery and hopefully will be able to bounce back.  I remind you that he missed most of last season with an ACL tear.  Many draft pundits considered him to be the top back available in next year’s draft.  Lattimore will have a difficult decision to make whether to return to South Carolina or enter the 2013 NFL Draft.  In 2003, Willis McGahee also suffered a gruesome injury in the Fiesta Bowl and decided to enter the draft.  His career has been a productive one in the NFL.           

 

Week 8
 

Risers

Junior QB A.J. McCarron (Alabama)
– A.J. McCarron completed 17/22 passes for 306 passing yards and four TDs against Tennessee.  He was very efficient.  He showed great field vision and pocket awareness.  The junior signal caller is very accurate and has nice touch.  He is no longer just a game manager.  He scans the field and goes through his progressions.  He has a good understanding of the game.  He hasn’t thrown a single interception this season. 

Junior OT Taylor Lewan (Michigan)
– Lewan dominated DL William Gholston last Saturday.  He held him in check.  He is a very good run blocker with ideal size.  He is a nasty Big 10 lineman with good athleticism.  Lewan has improved his pass protection this season.  He is a lock to be a top 20 pick in next year’s draft.   

Junior DE Damontre Moore (Texas A&M
) – Moore has a quick first step.  Against LSU, he was able to put consistent pressure on Zach Mettenberger.  He recorded 10 tackles, two TFLs and one sack.  He was almost unstoppable throughout the game before he went down with a knee injury in the third quarter.   He is very active with his hands and he has a good pass-rushing repertoire.  The most impressive thing about Moore is his non-stop motor.  He has played like a first round pick and is a good candidate for OLB in the 3-4 scheme. 

Junior LB C.J. Mosley (Alabama
) – Mosley had another good game against Tennessee.  He is the leader of Alabama’s defense.  The junior LB recorded seven total tackles and one pick.  He is an explosive LB.  He showed great instincts.  He has a nose for the ball.  He is one of the best pass coverage LB’s available in the 2013 NFL Draft.  He has a good understanding of different coverages.  He is able to read the QB’s eyes and be in the right place at the right time in passing situations.  

Senior LB Michael Mauti (Penn State)
– Mauti had seven total tackles, one sack and one INT in a win against Iowa.  He is the emotional leader of this defense.  He was as reliable as ever in run support.  He demonstrated great instincts.  He is also a punishing hitter.  The only thing that will hurt him on draft day is his history of injuries.      

Fallers

Senior QB Geno Smith (West Virginia
) – Smith faced another stingy defense last week against Kansas State and he didn’t have his best day.  He completed 21/32 passes for 143 passing yards, one TD and two picks.  He threw his first two interceptions of the season.   Smith forced some throws into coverage.  He was also unable to drive the ball downfield.    He is definitely not at his best when he is being forced out of the pocket.  Throwing on the run is not his strong suit.  He should still be a first round pick, but he needs to show that he can bounce back.  

Junior QB Tyler Bray (Tennessee)
- This was Tyler Bray’s chance to shine when the spotlight was on him against a very tough Alabama defense, but he came up short.  He completed only 13/27 passes, for 184 passing yards and two interceptions.  In fact, he has struggled the past couple of weeks.  He has good size with ideal arm strength.  Bray has struggled with his accuracy because he gets sloppy with his mechanics and footwork.  He forced numerous passes into coverage during the game.  There was one particular throw in the second quarter, which he forced into triple coverage and it was intercepted.  Bray’s leadership skills have also been questioned.  Bray needs to come back for his senior season.      

 

Week 7

 

Risers

 

Senior RB Montee Ball (Wisconsin) – Ever since Wisconsin fired their offensive line coach and got back to the basics, Montee Ball has been able to rediscover his running groove.  He ran for 247 rushing yards on 29 carries and scored three TDs against Purdue.  He set the Big Ten TD record with 72.  He is a tough back.  He broke tackles and ran over would be tacklers during the game.  I still question his speed and his ability to make defenders miss.  Even after this terrific performance, he carries a solid third round grade.       

 

Junior RB Eddie Lacy (Alabama) – Lacy is another back that got off to a slow start this season.  But he has looked much better the last couple of weeks.  He had 18 carries for 177 rushing yards and three TDs last week.  He showed a burst that was missing early this season.  He is a physical runner.  Lacy is a power back that broke a number of tackles against Missouri.     

 

Redshirt Sophomore RB Giovanni Bernard (North Carolina) – This is not the first time that I have listed Bernard in the riser category this season.  He is the best back available in next year’s draft.  Bernard played his high school football in Florida.  Against Miami, he rushed for 177 yards on 27 carries and scored two TDs.  He is able to elude tacklers and make them miss in tight space.  He is also a tough back.  He broke numerous tackles during the game.  He has a low center of gravity.  He has shown big play ability all season long.  He also has terrific hands.      

 

Senior WR Quinton Patton (Louisiana Tech) – Patton had 21 receptions for 233 receiving yards and four TDs in a loss against Texas A&M.  He has soft hands.  He caught everything that was thrown his way during last Saturday’s game.  He can stretch the field.  He has shown the ability to pick up yards after the catch which is his major strength.  He needs to continue to work on his route running.         

 

Junior DE Damontre Moore (Texas A&M) – Moore had 17 total tackles, 1.5 sacks, 2.5 TFLs and a blocked extra point during last week’s game.  He has been the best player on the defensive side of the ball for the Aggies.  Once again, he demonstrated a very quick first step against Louisiana Tech.  He was a terror in the opposing backfield.  He has very active hands and is strong enough to get of blocks.  Moore has been a consistent force all year long.  He is only a junior, but he could sneak into the first round of the 2013 NFL Draft because there is always a demand for pass rushers.  His natural position in the pros would be as an outside linebacker in a 3-4 scheme.      

 

Senior LB Khaseem Greene (Rutgers) – The 2011 co-Defensive Player of the Year had a monster game against Syracuse.  His stat line was 14 tackles, three forced fumbles, 1.5 sacks and one interception.  He was making plays all over the field.  He is a terrific run defender.  He has great speed.  Greene is also reliable as a pass defender.  The knock on him would be his size (6’1, 230).  He would be a terrific LB in a cover 2 scheme and should be a solid second round pick.      

 

Senior CB Desmond Trufant (Washington) – I thought that Trufant was one of the more overrated corners available in the 2013 NFL Draft.  I have changed my mind since then.  He has improved his game considerably during his senior campaign.  He has excelled in man-to-man coverage.  Last Saturday, he held Marqise Lee and Robert Woods in check.  He is an athletic corner with good size.  Some will question his ball skills and his lack of big plays.  He should be picked somewhere in the second/third round.          

 

Fallers  

 

Junior WR Justin Hunter (Tennessee) – He has been my top receiver in the 2013 NFL Draft all year long.  But his stock is on the decline.  He was held in check by Mississippi State.  He had only 2 catches for 41 yards.  He hasn’t shown that explosive ability.  He also had a big drop during the game when he went over the middle and knew that he was going to hit.  He has a tendency to lose concentration and drop catchable balls.  He has been outplayed by his teammate Cordarrelle Patterson. 

 

Senior DE Michael Buchanan (Illinois) – He had only four tackles in the game against Michigan.  Taylor Lewan shut down Buchanan completely when they went up against each other.  Buchanan hasn’t been able to step up in the big games this season.  He has registered only 2.5 sacks this year.  He needs to pick up his play in the second half of the season if he wants to be selected on the first or the second day of the draft.           

 

Week 6

 

Risers
 

Senior QB Matt Scott (Arizona) – He threw for 491 passing yards and three touchdowns with a 65% completion rate in a loss against Stanford last week.  Scott showed good arm strength and a nice touch on a number of throws.  He spread the ball around and completed passes to nine different receivers.  He is a mobile QB.  He is at his best throwing on the run.  He needs to bulk up.  He also doesn’t have a lot of experience, but he is a very intriguing prospect to keep an eye on.  He should be drafted in rounds 5 – 7.              
 

Redshirt Sophomore RB Giovanni Bernard (North Carolina) – Bernard is my top running back available in the 2013 NFL Draft.  Redshirt sophomore had 262 rushing yards on 23 carries and a touchdown.  He is an explosive back with home run ability.  He shows great speed.  He has a great burst through the hole.  He has soft hands and can catch the ball out of the backfield with ease.  He is also a threat as a returner.  We will monitor the situation and see if he will enter the draft after his sophomore campaign.            
 

Senior RB Mike Gillislee (Florida) – Gillislee has been a pleasant surprise for the Gators this season.  He has been rising up draft boards since week one.  He had a terrific performance with 34 carries for 146 yards and two touchdowns against a very tough LSU defense.  The senior RB has great speed.  He is elusive in the open field.  He is also a player that will run between the tackles and grind out those tough yards.  He hasn’t been featured in the Gators’ passing game, but he is a good blocker.  He should be a solid 3rd round pick.

 

Redshirt Sophomore Bradley Roby (Ohio State) – Roby should be mentioned along with the other top CB available in next year’s draft.  He picked off two passes in the win against Nebraska last week.  He is 5’11, 190 pounds with great closing speed.  He has good ball skills.  He is more than willing to support against the run.  He should be a first round pick whenever he decides to enter the draft.                   

 

Junior S Matt Elam (Florida)Elam was the best player on the field in the match-up between the Gators and the Tigers last week.  He was always around the ball.  He was flying around and delivering punishing hits.  He is terrific in run support.  He is at his best playing close to the line of scrimmage.  He lacks ideal size and it will hurt him on draft day.  He is a projected second round pick.  

 

Fallers

 

Junior QB Aaron Murray (Georgia) – Junior QB completed only 11/31 passes for 109 yards and an interception.  He couldn’t find any rhythm because he was bothered by South Carolina’s defense throughout the game.  He lacked accuracy on most of his passes.  He is about 6 feet tall and lacks the zip on most of his throws.  I have always felt that Murray was one of the more overrated QB’s in the nation.      

 

Junior QB Casey Pachall (TCU) – On the field, Pachall was putting together a very solid season.  Off-the-field, he has had his share of struggles.  He admitted to past drug use in the off-season.  Then on October 4th, he was arrested for a DWI.  He has since withdrawn from TCU and has reportedly entered rehab.  It remains to be seen whether he will come back to TCU, but he will most likely resurface at another school if he can put his troubles behind him.         

 

Junior S Eric Reid (LSU) – Reid is no longer a first round pick in my new 2013 NFL Mock Draft.  He has had his share of struggles this season in particular against the Gators.  He was beat a few times in pass coverage.  He just doesn’t look comfortable in pass coverage this season.  He is usually a solid run defender.  But during this game, he missed a few tackles.  He didn’t show the proper tackling technique.  His stock is on the decline.       

 

Week 5

Risers

Senior QB Geno Smith (West Virginia) – He put up some amazing statistical numbers against Baylor last week.  He completed 45/51 passes for 656 yards and eight TD’s.  He has thrown 20 total passing TD’s and zero interceptions this season.  Against Baylor, he showed his pinpoint accuracy.  He was able to fit balls into tight windows.  He showed poise and good decision-making.  Smith has improved his mechanics and footwork this season.  He looks more comfortable running Dana Holgersen’s system.  The game against Texas this week would be a big test for Smith.  He looks like a top 15 pick at this point.    

Senior RB Kenjon Barner (Oregon) – His teammate De’Anthony Thomas gets all of the attention, but Barner has been the primary back for the Ducks this year.  He had 20 carries for 195 yards and three touchdowns on the ground against Washington State.  He is a home run threat anytime he touches the ball.  He scored an 80-yard TD run last week.  He has great top end speed and vision.  He is a solid receiver coming out of the backfield.  He had some fumbling issues in the past, which is a bit of a concern.       

Senior WR Terrance Williams (Baylor) – Stedman Bailey was great, but I was more impressed by the 17 catches for 314 yards and two touchdowns that Williams put up against West Virginia.  He demonstrated big play ability last week.  He has ideal size and great hands.  Williams shows the ability to create separation.  He wins most jump balls.  He is the top senior receiver in the 2013 class.  He should be a late first/early second round pick.   

Senior OT Reid Fragel (Ohio State) – Fragel played three seasons at tight end before making the switch to RT this year.  It has been a smooth transition for him.  He looks like a natural at tackle.  He added 30 pounds in the off-season.  He has very good strength, and it was on full display against the Michigan State defensive line during last Saturday’s game.  Fragel is a great run blocker.  He has light feet and has improved in pass protection.  This is a prospect that we will keep a close eye on as the season continues.     

Junior DT Johnathan Hankins (Ohio State) – His stat line was not impressive against the Spartans, he only recorded three tackles.  But he was unblockable for most of the game.  Hankins was able to shut down the Spartans rushing attack.  RB Le’Veon Bell only gained 45 yards on 17 carries.   He really controlled the line of scrimmage.  Hankins also showed his quickness, which is really impressive for such a big man.  He should be a top 10 pick in next year’s draft. 

Redshirt Junior DT Sheldon Richardson (Missouri) – He had nine total tackles including two for loss and one sack against UCF.  He is an extremely quick and athletic player for a 295-pound guy.  He can wreak havoc in the backfield by using his quick first step.  He is a player that has improved every week this season.                         

Senior CB Leon McFadden (San Diego State) – McFadden shined against Fresno State despite the 52-40 loss.  He had five tackles and a 96-yard interception return for a TD.  It is his third straight game in which he recorded an interception.  He is an athletically gifted corner with good ball skills.  He also shows good hips.         

Fallers


Junior RB Knile Davis (Arkansas) – He had 18 carries for 65 yards against the Aggies.  The junior RB has continued his struggles this season.  He still hasn’t surpassed 100 yards on the ground this year.  He is not hitting the hole decisively.  He fumbled the ball three times last week although the Razorbacks recovered two of those fumbles.     

Senior CB Johnny Adams (Michigan State) – He looked sluggish against Ohio State.  Devin Smith burned Adams for a long 63-yard TD.  He struggles to stay with quicker receivers and can get outmuscled by the more physical receivers.  I can’t see Adams being a starting corner in the pros.  He is one of the more overrated prospects in the 2013 NFL Draft.    

Junior CB David Amerson (North Carolina State) – Amerson doesn’t have top end speed and struggles to turn his hips.  He struggles in man-to-man coverage against quicker receivers.  He has a tendency to give up big plays.  He was beaten twice for long TD’s against Miami in the first quarter.  He has terrific ball skills and good size.  I am convinced that he is only suited for a zone coverage scheme. 
 

 

Week 4

 

Risers

 

Senior QB EJ Manuel (Florida State) – EJ Manuel completed 27/35 passes for 380 passing yards and two touchdowns against Clemson.  He also added 102 yards on the ground.  He led his team to a critical win against a tough ACC foe.  He was very efficient.  He showed good command of the football.  He was accurate.  He didn’t force any throws or made any mistakes.  Manuel spread the ball around and completed passes to eight different receivers.  He threw mostly short passes to receivers and swing passes to running backs.  He was a game manager for most of the game.  But there were two throws in particular that were impressive.  He threw a bullet pass for a 28-yard completion to TE Nick O’Leary down the middle of the field.  He also completed a 29-yard TD pass to Rodney Smith in the second half that showed off his arm and touch.  I currently have a second round grade on EJ Manuel because he is athletic, can beat you with his feet, has ideal size and very good arm strength.  There will be a few of teams during the pre-draft process that might find his potential too appealing to pass up and will be willing to select him in the first round.                        

 

Senior RB Chris Thompson (Florida State) – Thompson had 15 carries for 103 rushing yards and two touchdowns against Clemson.  He also added 8 receptions for 79 passing yards.  Senior RB was the Chick-fil-A Bowl Offensive MVP in 2010.  But he missed most of last year with a serious back injury.  He is healthy this year and he has been the main contributor in the ground game.  He is very quick and elusive in the open field.  He is hard to bring down.  He showed great cutback ability against the Tigers.  Thompson is an outstanding receiver coming out of the backfield.  He should be a late round pick for a team who is looking for a change of pace back.                   

 

Senior WR Cobi Hamilton (Arkansas) – His stock was on the decline after the week three performance against Alabama (2 receptions for 14 yards).  But he bounced back in a big way against Rutgers.  He obviously benefited the most from having his starting QB Tyler Wilson back in the lineup after he missed the Alabama game.  Hamilton had 10 receptions for 303 yards and three TD’s.  He scored a 57-yard TD on a slant route by outrunning the defense.  He has deceptive speed.  He knows how to use his size and strength to his advantage against defensive backs. Hamilton has great potential, but he has to be consistent week in and week out if he wants to be selected in the second round of next year’s draft.

 

Senior WR Tavon Austin (West Virginia) – Just like his teammate QB Geno Smith, Austin has gotten off to a terrific start in the early part of this season.  He had 13 receptions for 179 receiving yards and three TD’s last week.  He is lightning quick and elusive in the open field.  He is very versatile.  You can line him in the slot and in the backfield.  Austin is a dangerous returner.  But I have concerns about his size and his effort at times.  He will be an ideal slot receiver in the NFL and currently carries a third round grade.   

 

Senior DE Cornellius “Tank” Carradine (Florida State) – Carradine was a big time juco recruit.  Ever since Brandon Jenkins went down with a season-ending injury, the athletic defensive end has stepped up into the starting lineup and been a force.  He was able to generate consistent pressure against Clemson.  He recorded seven total tackles and two sacks.  He was also very active against the run.  He has an explosive first step.  He knows how to use his long arms to his advantage.  His stock will continue to rise throughout the season if he keeps up this level of play.    

 

Senior LB Manti Te'o (Notre Dame) – He had another great game against the Michigan Wolverines.  Te’o had 8 tackles and two picks.  He delivered a couple of big hits during the game.  He was a consistent force against the run.  He was very quick reacting to the ball.  He showed good awareness in coverage that resulted in the two picks.  He has shown improvement in his game during his senior campaign.  He is a lock for the first round. 

 

Fallers

 

Senior QB Denard Robinson (Michigan) – Robinson struggled once again in the big game.  He threw for only 138 passing yards while completing only 54% of his passes.  Most importantly, he threw four picks.  He continues to struggle with his accuracy and decision making.  He hasn’t developed as a passer.  He has no chance in making the roster as a QB at the next level.  He is a good athlete with great speed.  His best chance is to make the switch to WR.  He would need to show at the Senior Bowl and the Combine that he can catch the football consistently and run crisp routes.    

 

Senior QB Landry Jones (Oklahoma) – Jones put up pretty good numbers in a loss against Kansas State (65% completion, 298 passing yards and a TD).  But after studying his game tape, I came away disappointed.  He had two critical errors (an interception and a fumble) that led to defensive touchdowns.  He has ideal size and arm strength.  He doesn’t have good pocket awareness.  He still has a tendency to lock onto his primary receiver.  He has accuracy issues because he has flaws with his footwork.  I currently have a third round grade on him, but he drop even lower if he continues to struggle in big games.

 

Senior RB Montee Ball (Wisconsin) – The expectations this season were almost unreal for Ball after he put together a monster junior season.  Wisconsin lost a couple of key offensive linemen, offensive line coach and QB Russell Wilson.  Ball has been ordinary this season.   He sustained a head injury against UTEP, but should be able to play this week.  He needs to bounce back in order to rescue his sinking stock.  I was never that high on him and thought that he was a more a product of the system.  He should be a third round pick in the 2013 NFL Draft.          

 

Senior CB Sheldon Price (UCLA) – His stock was on the rise after he had three picks against Houston in week three.  But he had a terrible game against the Beavers in a performance that he would like to forget.  He gave up two long touchdowns against Brandin Cooks and Markus Wheaton.  He lacks top end speed.  Price also struggles in his backpedal and has tight hips.  He would be best suited for a zone coverage scheme at the next level.  

 

 

Week 3


Risers

Senior LB Manti Te’o (Notre Dame) – Manti Te’o was dealing with some personal issues leading up to the Michigan State game.  His grandmother and girlfriend passed away within 24 hours of each other.  He showed incredible perseverance playing in the game.  He led the Irish to a big win against the Spartans.  He recorded 12 tackles and 2 pass breakups.  He was able to shed blockers and get to the ball carrier.  He was reliable with his tackling form and showed good instincts.  He was also effective in pass coverage when he was asked to drop back.  With his strong performance in this game, he solidified his first round status.  
 

Junior DE Bjoern Werner (Florida State) – Werner has been terrific in the beginning of the 2012 season.  He has put up some incredible numbers (6.5 sacks and 9 tackles for loss through three games).  Werner has arguably been the best defensive end in the country.  He looks like a legitimate top 20 pick in the 2013 draft.  He lost 15 pounds in the off-season and looks much quicker.  He recorded 1.5 sacks and 2.5 tackles for loss against Wake Forest.  Werner showed the ability to consistently wreak havoc in the backfield.  He used good leverage and held his ground against the run.  I love his non-stop motor.      
 

Junior DT Will Sutton (Arizona State) – Sutton is a player that is making some noise early on this season.  I wanted to include him on this list last week.  But he had another good game against Missouri this week (one sack and one TFL).  Those numbers don’t do him any justice because he was constantly in the opponent’s backfield.  He is a pass rusher from a defensive tackle position with a quick first step.  He is name that we will hear more about as the season progresses.       
 

Senior CB Sheldon Price (UCLA) – Price is a corner with good size.  His tremendous instincts were on full display as he came up with three picks against Houston.  He has excelled in both man-to-man coverage and zone.  He also is very good in run support.  He is a mediocre athlete with average speed.  Those things will hurt him on draft day.  He is a solid mid-round pick at this point.
 

Senior WR Chad Bumphis (Mississippi State) – He had six catches for 180 yards and three touchdowns against Troy.  This was his breakout game this season.  He has been the primary target for Tyler Russell this season.  He is an athletic wide receiver with good ball skills.  Last week, he was quick off the line and showed the ability to make the big play.  I expect him to continue his strong play.  He should go somewhere in the fifth round.   

 

Fallers

Junior QB Logan Thomas (Virginia Tech) – We saw Matt Barkley and Tyler Bray struggle during week three, but no one struggled more than Logan Thomas.  Thomas has incredible physical tools including great size, arm strength, athletic ability and the ability make plays with his feet.  I have been projecting him as one of the top picks in next year’s draft.  He has disappointed thus far.  He struggled mightily against Pittsburgh in week three.  Thomas completed only 45% of his passes and threw three interceptions.  He lacked accuracy on his throws.  He was making bad reads.  He is still very raw as a passer.     
 

Senior WR Cobi Hamilton (Arkansas) – The entire Arkansas team put together a bad performance against Alabama.  I realize that they were without their star QB Tyler Wilson, but there was no excuse for being so flat.  Senior wide receiver Cobi Hamilton was not able to step up during this critical game.  I had him rated as the top senior receiver at the beginning of this season.  He has not lived up to his potential.  He only had two receptions for 14 yards against Alabama.  He was unable to get much of a separation from Alabama’s defensive backs.  Hamilton was sloppy with his route running which is not his strong suit to begin with.  Even though he has a track background, he doesn’t look that fast on the football field.  He needs to step up and play better if he wants to have a chance to be drafted on the first or the second day of the draft. 

 

Week 2

Risers
 

Junior LB Jarvis Jones (Georgia) – He was the star during the second week of college football.  A junior linebacker had a terrific performance against Missouri.  He recorded nine tackles, two sacks and one forced fumble.  He is an exceptional athlete with a good motor.  He has a quick first step and long arms.  He also demonstrated pretty good coverage skills during the game which is the one question mark that I had about him.  He even came up with one interception during the game.  His specialty is getting after the quarterback and he would be an excellent fit in a 3-4 scheme.  He looks like a top 10 pick.        
 

Junior DE/LB Damontre Moore (Texas A&M) – Moore is playing DE for the Aggies this year.  He had 10 tackles and three sacks against the Gators.  He has a good size/speed combo.  He has a terrific first step, and I saw him blow by the RT with ease on  a number of occasions.  The one thing that really impressed me during last week's game is his hand usage.  He chases down ballcarriers and has a non-stop motor.  Another good candidate at outside LB for the 3-4 front.         
 

Senior RB Johnathan Franklin (UCLA) – His 214 rushing yards against Rice made me notice him in week one.  His week two performance against Nebraska where he accumulated 217 rushing yards and 59 passing yards made me put him on this list.  He is more quick than fast.  I like his burst through the hole.  He can break tackles, and the first defender can never bring him down.  He shows soft hands as a receiver coming out of the backfield.  He is a solid mid-round pick at this point after his strong start to this season.         


Senior CB Johnthan Banks (Mississippi State)
– Banks proved once again against Auburn that he is the top senior corner available in next year's draft.  He recorded six tackles and two picks.  He has ideal size and long arms.  He has excellent recognition skills.  He is better suited for the zone coverage scheme because his speed is only average.              

 

Junior SS Matt Elam (Florida) – Elam is a very instinctive safety with good speed.  His best asset is playing close to the line of scrimmage and he demonstrated that against the Aggies.  He is a terrific run defender.  His size is the only question mark which will hurt his draft status.  I have a second round grade on him.       

 

Fallers
 

Junior RB Eddie Lacy (Alabama) – Lacy was supposed to replace Trent Richardson as the lead back.  So far, he has been clearly outplayed by the true freshman T.J. Yeldon.  He only had 9 carrries for 36 rushing yards against Western Kentucky.  He doesn't look like he is 100 percent.  But he also looks hesitant and indecisive when he is attacking the line of scrimmage.  He has only average speed.  Lacy doesn't look like a first or a second day pick.    
 

Junior OT D.J. Fluker (Alabama) – Fluker is a terrific run blocker, but it wasn’t too difficult to notice his struggles in pass protection against Western Kentucky.  He wasn’t going up against elite talent in this game, but he gave up a few sacks.  He looked slow coming out of his stance in pass protection.  He needs to improve his technique and his footwork.  There is no way that he can play left tackle and he needs to improve considerably in pass pro if he wants to remain a RT at the next level.  
 

Senior QB Tyler Wilson (Arkansas) – He was knocked out of the game against Louisiana-Monroe last week.  He hasn't practiced all week and has been ruled out against Alabama because of concussion-like symptoms.  This is his second concussion in 15 games.  If he misses  a few more weeks, his draft stock will be on the decline.          


 

Week 1
 

Risers
 

Junior QB Tyler Bray (Tennessee) – Bray had 333 passing yards and two TD’s against NC State.  His strong arm was on full display.  He threw an accurate deep ball.  He spread the ball around to different receivers.  He demonstrated good pocket awareness and field vision.  His leadership skills were put into question during the off-season, but he was very emotional on the sidelines when he was pumping his offense up.  On September 15th, he will be tested against the Florida Gators’ defense.         
 

Senior QB Geno Smith (West Virginia) – Smith looks more comfortable in his second year in Dana Holgorsen’s offense.  He looked poised and his decision making against Marshall was superb.  He threw for 323 passing yards, four touchdowns and only four incompletions.  He is primed for a huge year.  I would like to see how he will perform against Texas and Oklahoma this year.  I have a second round grade on him.        
 

Senior RB Andre Ellington (Clemson) – The final stat line for Ellington was 26 carries for 231 rushing yards and 8.9 yards per carry.  He is a speedster who is very elusive in the open field.  The one thing that impressed during this game is his willingness to pound the ball between the tackles.  He has improved in that aspect of his game.     
 

Junior RB Le’Veon Bell (Michigan State) – While the rest of the Spartans offense struggled, Bell torched Boise State’s defense all by himself and carried them to victory.  He had 44 carries for 210 yards and two touchdowns.  He also showed soft hands as a receiver.  Bell demonstrated tremendous patience as a runner.  He is a power back with good balance and nimble feet. 
 

Junior WR Cordarrelle Patterson (Tennessee) – He made a splash in his debut with the Vols.  He is a Juco transfer who was forced into the starting role after Da’Rick Rogers was dismissed from the team.  He has the size, the strength and the 4.3 speed.  He showed tremendous hands.  He is also very elusive for his size.  He had six receptions for 93 yards and a TD.  Patterson added another 67-yard rushing TD on an end-around. 
 

Senior DE Michael Buchanan (Illinois) – When I scouted Whitney Mercilus last year, I couldn’t help but notice Michael Buchanan.  Against Western Michigan in week one, he was dominant and looked like a man amongst boys.  He had a sack, an INT and was always in the opponent’s backfield.  He was very active.  He is an athletic player with a good first step and his motor is always running.  When he wasn’t getting to the QB, he was batting passes down by using his long arms.  If he continues to play like this, he will be a lock for the first round.      
 

Senior DT Sylvester Williams (North Carolina) – The Tar Heels dominated against Elon.  A lot of their players had good games, but Sylvester Williams was unblockable.  He is quick for a 300 pounder.  He showed the strength to split the double team.  He looks to be in much better shape than he was last year.  Williams recorded a pair of sacks.  Let’s see how he performs against ACC competition.       
 

Junior CB Dee Milliner (Alabama) – Athletic junior corner showed lockdown ability against the Wolverines.  He had a pick, broke up a few passes and was a factor in run support.  He showed tremendous closing speed against the receivers.  He might be yet another Alabama corner that gets drafted in the first round.     

 

Fallers
 

Junior CB David Amerson (North Carolina State) – Entering this season, Amerson has been projected by many as a top 10 pick and the top corner available in the 2013 NFL Draft.  It is not surprising considering the fact that he had 13 picks during his sophomore campaign.  He had a night that he would probably like to forget especially in the first half against Tennessee.  Amerson got beat deep for a touchdown by Patterson when he was caught peaking into the backfield for a moment.  Bray came back and attacked Amerson again.  He threw a deep post to Zach Rogers who took it the distance for a 72-yard TD.  He had trouble turning his hips and running with the receiver on that particular play.  There was another play where Patterson outran Amerson on an end-around play where it looked like he had a good angle.  On that play, it was quite evident that he doesn’t have top flight speed. 
 

Senior WR Aaron Mellette (Elon) – Mellette is considered to be the top small school prospect in this year’s draft.  He deserves the attention that he has received after his amazing junior season (113 receptions, 1,639 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns).  He has the size at 6’3 and the bulk at 215 pounds.  He is a good route runner and creates yards after the catch.  I pay very close attention to small school players when they face top level competition.  Mellette came up short during the North Carolina game.  He was non-existent.  He had only two receptions for nine yards.  He had trouble gaining separation from the defensive backs.  He wasn’t quick coming in and out of his cuts.  He also had a couple of drops.  There was one bad drop in particular on a slant route that hit him right in the numbers and bounced off his chest.         
      

Senior DE Devin Taylor (South Carolina) – Taylor is a player that is really frustrating.  He has the size (6’7, 267), the strength and the quickness to be a dominant player.  Yet, he is a classic underachiever.  He made one tackle for a loss and had three overall tackles.  He was blocked single-handedly all game long against Vanderbilt.  He didn’t put any pressure on the QB and lost his gap responsibility on a few occasions.  He is mid-round pick at best.        
 

Senior DE Brandon Jenkins (Florida State) – Jenkins left the game with an injury against Murray State.  Now it is being reported that he will be out for the remainder of the season with a left foot injury.  That is bad news for Jenkins who had a chance to bounce back from his mediocre junior year and secure a first round grade.   

 

 


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