12/29/08

The end of the season has been a bit of a rollercoaster for the Houston Texans.  A brilliant home win over the Tennessee Titans in week 15 left them with the hopes of the first winning season in franchise history.  Those hopes were dashed the following week with a miserable performance on the road at Oakland.  The team came back with an outstanding performance at home to defeat a Chicago team playing for a berth in the playoffs.  
 
A review of the whole season leaves reason for optimism for next year.  After a dismal 0-4 start made worse by Hurricane Ivan, the team rebounded to win three straight including a home win over the Dolphins.  That was followed by a brutal stretch with a road loss to Minnesota, a home thrashing at the hands of Baltimore, and the demoralizing Rosenfels meltdown at Indianapolis.  At 3-7 the season seemed lost and Kubiak's job possibly in jeopardy.  The ensuing four game winning streak saw wins at Cleveland and Green Bay along with home wins over divisional rivals Jacksonville and Tennessee.  The team must establish some consistency of performance.  This would be helped in large part by the health of Matt Schaub.
 
The coaching staff appears safe to return next year.  Kubiak will certainly be back and there is no cause for concern among the offensive coaches.  Great strides were made by the offensive line and there is hope for the future.  There is still some question regarding the defense, in particular, coordinator Richard Smith.  A more aggressive approach in the second half of the season has led to better performances by the defense and perhaps has saved Smith's job for another year.  At midseason he seemed certain to get the boot.
 
There is no longer a quarterback controversy in Houston.  Matt Schaub is clearly number one.  The mistakes that plagued Sage Rosenfels in Miami reared their head this season.  He seems likely to return for a final season in Houston before leaving in free agency after next year if the chance for a starting position comes available.  At this point it seems unlikely.  Equally unlikely is the prospect of trading him for a draft pick.  Last year Rosenfels had value but he would likely bring no better than a 6th or 7th round pick and that is not enough to move him.
 
The running back position is at once more clear and also in need of addressing this off season.  Steve Slaton has emerged as a clear number one and as one of the best picks in the entire draft last year.  The cupboard is bare behind him.  Ahman Green will certainly be released this off season to clear cap space.  There is no credible backup on the roster.  Ryan Moats will likely come back to compete for a spot but it is not guaranteed.  Vontae Leach is among the top half-dozen fullbacks in the league.  The Texans may look for a cheap reserve in free agency to share the load with Slaton.  They will not pay over the top as they did with Green.  The team will also likely use a mid round pick on a reserve running back, preferably one with size.
 
Andre Johnson continued to establish himself as one of the top receivers in the league and the team will look to extend his contract.  Kevin Walters is a capable number two and a strong possession receiver.  Andre Davis and Jacoby Jones were a little disappointing as complimentary deep threats but were valuable in the return game.  Dave Anderson emerged as a solid slot receiver and a key target in four receiver sets.  The team may select a receiver later in the draft with the idea of challenging Davis and Jones.  The tight end position is solid with Owen Daniels as a quality starter and Joel Dreesen as a solid backup.  This may be the end of the road for Mark Bruener.  Clark Harris is now likely to be the team's deep snapper in place of Bryan Pittman and also the number three tight end.  The team may make a late round selection at tight end to challenge Dreesen.
 
The offensive line was the most improved position on the team.  Duane Brown made some mistakes against speed rushers but improved throughout the year as the left tackle of the future.  The rest of the starting lineup appears solid.  If the chance to upgrade Mike Brisiel or Chris Myers presents itself the team will not hesitate to do so.  Ephraim Salaam and Kasey Studdard will likely return as backups.  The team could address depth issues in free agency or the draft
 
The defensive line figures to receive the most attention in the offseason.  Badly needed is a pass rusher opposite Mario Williams.  Anthony Weaver will likely be a cap casualty and will not be resigned for a lesser contract.  The team will also have to decide what to do with Travis Johnson.  If there is any market for him he could be traded.  A big run stuffing tackle is also on the shopping list.  The team will consider free agent options at both positions as well as look to the draft.

The linebacking corps has been solid this year.  DeMeco Ryans remains one of the best in the league.  Zach Diles was doing a credible job as a first year starter before being injured and placed on IR.  Kevin Bentley has filled in admirably and is a capable backup across the linebacking corps.  Rookie Xavier Adibi has injected badly needed speed into the defense in the second half of the year playing on the weakside.  He will likely be considered the starter going in to next season.  There is a question whether Morlon Greenwood will be brought back.  It is more a matter of salary than performance and he could be a candidate to restructure his contract.  If not, Greenwood could be a cap casualty as well.  While not necessarily a position of need, the team will not turn away from a chance to make an upgrade.  This could be particularly true on the strong side.  An impact performer with pass rush skills would be ideal.
 
There is clearly a need to improve the playmaking ability in the secondary.  The cornerback position will not be considered a position of priority.  Dunte Robinson makes strides every week and will hopefully return to his dominating performances next year.  Jacques Reeves has been solid on the other side and deserves more credit then is given him by Houston fans.  Antwaun Molden and Fred Bennett will look to challenge Reeves for playing time.  The team may resign Demarcus Faggins if the price is right but he is being passed by younger and cheaper alternatives.  There is a chance a late round pick might be used here.  The safety position is where the team figures to make changes.  A strong free agent market will be explored along with draft alternatives.  Eugene Wilson and Nick Ferguson have been workmanlike but are better suited to reserve roles.  Both are free agents and will come back only if the price is right.  The same can be said of C.C. Brown who is on IR.  Brandon Harrison and Dominique Barber have shown some promise and are solid in special teams.  They will likely be on the team next year.  The status of Will Demps is also up in the air.  Veterans like Sean Jones, Jermaine Phillips, and O.J. Atogwe among others will be considered.  A prime draft pick could also be spent here.
 
The Texans are in the enviable position of having no unrestricted free agent that the team feels it must re-sign.  All of their restricted free agents should draw qualifying offers with the exception of Stanley McClover.  It will be an interesting offseason with the team feeling like the right moves could put them in playoff contention.  Certainly the team will need to have 9-10 wins in order for Kubiak to retain his job.
 

11/28/08

The win on the road against Cleveland showed a few bright spots for the Texans but the overall prognosis for the season remains bleak.  The biggest change for Houston came in the form of a more aggressive defense.  The Texans "D" created a season high five turnovers that helped overcome a mediocre offense.  Sage Rosenfels continued to be interception prone, tossing two more picks.  The running game was only marginally productive and now must do without Ahman Green who was put on IR.
 
The Green injury likely spells the end of his tenure with the team and spells trouble for a running game that must rely on a dinged up rookie in Steve Slaton and return specialist Ryan Moats at running back.  Backup fullback Cecil Sapp could see action at running back and the team may activate Darius Walker.  This scenario spells trouble for Rosenfels who has not exactly flourished in his starting opportunities this year.  With home games remaining against Jacksonville, Tennessee and Chicago along with road games to Green Bay and Oakland the team will be hard pressed to get to seven wins, much less 8-8.  This week's Monday night game against Jacksonville is arguably the most winnable game left for the team and crucial to maintain fan interest for what is left of the season.
 
Some things are becoming abundantly clear.  First, the team must get a legitimate number starter at running back.  Slaton is fine as a second option but the team needs a big time runner.  They may explore free agency here but are more likely to spend an early draft pick on the position.  The rest of the offense will only be tinkered with although the arguement can be made that the team still needs improvement at guard and center.  The big changes will come on defense.  Richard Smith is on a very hot seat and should not be back.  The team will likely look for a more aggressive defensive coordinator.  Anthony Weaver is also likely gone and you may add Travis Johnson to that list.  A legitimate bookend DE opposite Mario Williams is a major priority along with a big run stopper in the middle.  Amobi Okoye has been disappointing but still has great potential.  DeMeco Ryans and Zach Diles will be two of the starters at linebacker next year.  Whether Morlon Greenwood will be back is in question.  A playmaking weakside linebacker would be a great addition.
 
The secondary remains the biggest problem.  The AFC south has become a division where shut down cornerbacks are not as big a priority as it was during the heyday of the Colts.  The team will likely stick with what they have at the position.  The safety spots are very much up for grabs.  They need playmakers at the spot.  This could be the biggest free agent priority.  A physical presence here is a must.  There is no question that Kubiak will be back next year but changes will have to be made.  If the team is not above .500 next year it is likely that Kubiak will be gone. 

11/13/08

The loss to the Ravens exposed the very real weaknesses that continue to plague the Houston Texans.  It should be painfully obvious that some major changes will have to be undertaken this off season.  The first of which is to replace Richard Smith as defensive coordinator.  Defensive position coaches will also be given close scrutiny and further changes could be in the offing.
 
The Texans are incapable of stopping even a marginal running attack.  Second year defensive tackle Amobi Okoye sat out the Baltimore game with an injury but his lackluster play was hardly missed.  The team badly needs to upgrade this aspect of the defense.  Personnel will be looked at closely but the schemes must also change.  The defensive line looks like they are playing on roller skates much of the time with Mario Williams a lone exception.  Some players such as Deljuan Robinson, Earl Cochran, and Tim Bulman show some promise as rotational players but the big named starters are not producing.  Travis Johnson is a virtual non-factor and he looks like a player next to Anthony Weaver.
 
The linebacking corps suffered a major loss this past week with the loss of Zach Diles for the season to a broken leg suffered during drills.  Diles was at least a good effort guy who played the run decently and was improving in pass coverage.  Kevin Bentley replaced him and while he had a sack, he also missed numerous chances to make playes.  If it was only one or two players guilty of this the situation would not be so bad.  Unfortunately it is the rule rather than the exception on the defense.  Eugene Wilson and Nick Ferguson are the latest flavor of the month safeties.  While they have their moments, neither is suited to being anything more than a fourth safety at the NFL level.  This is an area that badly needs an upgrade.  The corners are bringing back memories of Elvis Patterson with Jacques Reeves particularly getting toasted.  One can only hope the Dunta Robinson will continue to progress in his return from injury.
 
Offensively, Sage Rosenfels has put to bed any speculation that he might deserve a shot at the starting job.  It is a pity the team did not trade him last year before the draft when he sparked some interest.  Rosenfels is a turnover waiting to happen.  Steve Slaton has shown some promise as a running back but the team badly needs a more physical back that they can rely on.  Slaton is at his best in a complimentary role.  The receiving corps is solid and probably the one area the team is not in a rush to upgrade.  The offensive line holds back opponents pressure as effectively as the Poles held back Germany in WWII.  Duane Brown may one day get there but he is often exposed at left tackle.  Haloti Ngata looked like the second coming of Reggie White with his performance against the Texans.  There is not a single interior lineman that should feel secure in his position.  Only Eric Winston looks like someone ready to start in the NFL and you wish his motor ran a little hotter at times.
 
The Texans schedule has only one game left that looks like a likely win and that is on the road at Oakland.  Houston will likely draft in the top ten and maybe the top five.  The question is who will be making the pick.  This team right now doesn't look like it is headed in the right direction.  The talent is certainly better than when Kubiak took over but the effort is still lacking.

10/15/08

What a difference a win makes.  Or does it?  The Houston Texans still showed the remarkable ability to shoot themselves in the foot and came close to turning a game that was a deserved win into yet another frustrating loss.
 
Matt Schaub had his moments but was also guilty of two first half interceptions that threatened to take the Texans out of the game before they ever really got going.  Schaub deserves credit for his leadership on the last drive and getting the win.  He was still far from impressive.  He completed barely more than fifty percent of his passes and tried to force the ball at times.  In truth, he was lucky to only commit two turnovers in the game.  The performance should be enough to quiet his detractors for awhile.  The Sage Rosenfels fan club is still in mourning after his meltdown against Indianapolis.
 
Andre Johnson looks as if he is starting to re-emerge as an elite receiver.  The team needs him to play this way.  It makes Owen Daniels, Kevin Walter and Andre Davis much more effective.  Ahman Green and Steve Slaton complimented each other well.  Perhaps Green can stay healthy and effective if limited to fewer than ten carries a game.  The offensive line play remains a bit of a concern.  Duane Brown continues to struggle to adapt to the pace of the NFL game.  Joey Porter owned him much the same as James Harrison did in week one.  The left side of the line does not do a very good job of blocking for the run.  If the team doesn't run right it struggles to make positive yardage.
 
The makeshift secondary continues to be exposed.    Will Demps was exposed in the first half on a little wildcat formation trickery.  Brandon Harrison appears to be making strides and may prove worthy of his selection two years ago.  The corners continue to have some difficulty.  Jacques Reeves, Demarcus Faggins and Fred Bennett badly need Dunta Robinson to return soon and play to his previous levels.  On a bright note, the run defense was much better, holding the Dolphins under 100 yards rushing.  The tackle rotation is starting to be more disruptive.  The team is also starting to blitz a bit more and it has helped the pass rush some.  The Texans have the hapless Detroit Lions in next week and have to continue to make hay before returning to face their AFC South compatriots.
 

9/26/08

The Houston Texans are a team in crisis.  There is growing concern that Matt Schaub is not the answer at quarterback or at the very least, Sage Rosenfels should be given an opportunity to show whether he can do the job.  Rick Smith and Gary Kubiak have a great deal invested in Schaub after sending multiple picks to the Falcons to acquire him.  Schaub was horrible this past week although his numbers would have been better if Andre Johnson had not dropped a couple of difficult catches.
 
The receiving corps has been average at best.  To date, Andre Johnson has not been the difference maker that he has been in season's past.  No one else has stepped up to fill the void.  The running game appears to be sorting itself out.  Steve Slaton is looking like a decent pick up at running back and will likely remain the starter.  Chris Taylor has been sharing time with him in the absence of Ahman Green.  There is little question that it is the end of the line for Green.  He cannot stay healthy for any length of time.  The offensive line has been vulnerable as well.  Duane Brown is going through growing pains at left tackle albeit against the Steelers and Titans.  We will see how he fairs against more moderate competition.  Eric Winston has been the team's best lineman.  The interior trio of Myers, Pitts and Brisiel has been dominated for large stretches of both games.
 
Defensively, the team has not shown the expected improvement from last year.  Mario Williams was great against Pittsburgh but the rest of the line has been largely AWOL through the first two games.  They are getting little push from their tackles.  Amobi Okoye needs to show more particularly against the run.  Frank Okam has seen some action and may give them a more physical presence at defensive tackle.  There is no one providing any real pass rush besides Mario Williams.  He has a bullseye on him each week and faces 2 or 3 blockers in passing situations.
 
The linebacking corps has been decent.  Demeco Ryans has been solid against the run and pass.  The rest of the group has shown some serious lapses.  Morlon Greenwood and Zach Diles have to become more consistent and make plays.  Diles in particular shows some problems versus the pass.  The secondary has been exposed as mediocre at best.  Jacques Reeves is a first down waiting to happen.  He has talent but appears to lack the instincts for the position.  Fred Bennett has had his moments but he is clearly not a number one corner.  Antwaun Molden will need to grow up fast to help this unit.  The safeties are a group that also has failed to make plays.  Will Demps and CC Brown are probably better suited to be reserves or at least complimentary to a play-making safety.  The team does not appear to have one on its roster.
 
Right now the defensive coaching staff in particular is under the gun.  The team has invested a number of draft picks and free agent signings that are not producing at the level they need to.  If the team does not take a serious step up in the coming weeks the Texans could well be looking at a top five or top ten draft spot in the coming draft and that is not where this team should be.
 

8/26/08

The exhibition game against the Cowboys revealed that the team still has a ways to go before becoming a legitimate playoff contender.  The defense did a poor job of tackling and rushing the passer.  Offensively, Matt Schaub was not very sharp and the running game is marginal at best.  Add to that the career ending injury to Harry Williams and it was a dismal night.  Williams will be able to function normally but the chance of returning to the field is virtually non-existent.  It is a shame because he had turned heads as a special team performer and was forcing Gary Kubiak to consider keeping six receivers.
 
As for position battles and who will make the team, it is starting to clear up.  Veteran fullback Jameel Cook was waived following his arrest on a number of charges including suspicion of marijuana.  This virtually assures that Chris Taylor will make the team as a reserve fullback.  As of now, Steve Slaton is the only running back assured of making the squad.  The oft-injured Ahman Green is difficult to count on.  Chris Brown has missed most of training camp and right now is likely to be cut.  Darius Walker is nothing special and Marcel Shipp is trying to learn the offense.  The position is looking very bad right now.
 
It is also difficult to see the team keeping three quarterbacks unless they show something in the final preseason game.  Shane Boyd and Alex Brink are likely competing for a spot on the practice squad.  The same group of receivers and tight ends that the Texans ended last season with will likely be on the team to start this year.  The team has been pleased overall with the play of Duane Brown who has earned the position by default with the absence due to injury of Ephraim Salaam. 
 
The tough cuts will come on defense.  One of Anthony Maddox, Jeff Zgonina and Frank Okam will be let go.  Okam is likely to make the team because of his upside.  N.D. Kalu was facing an uphill battle to make the team but he has been the best pass rusher in the preseason games.  The Texans have to be disappointed with the play of Roosevelt Colvin to this point.  Earl Cochran will make the team and could start over Anthony Weaver.  The question is whether Weaver makes the team if he is not starting.  Tim Bulman's versatility will also be considered in the cuts.
 
Linebacker also is a bit of a question.  Xavier Adibi has missed much of camp and could be heading to the injured reserve if he can't get back on the field this week.  He shows promise but still has much to learn.  Zach Diles has been solid as a starter and made a nice interception in the Dallas game.
 
The secondary will have the toughest cuts.  Brandon Harrison is likely out at safety but has shown enough to merit a spot on the practice squad.  Dominique Barber could be in the same boat.  If the team only goes with two quarterbacks, then a fifth safety could be kept.  At corner Dunte Robinson will get put on the PUP list.  Jacques Reeves and Fred Bennett will start. Antwaun Molden will press for time.  Jamar Fletcher and Jamarcus Faggins will be the reserves.  The team must bounce back and play better than this or .500 may be the best they can do.
 

8/5/08

The Texans hope to compete for a playoff spot this year and training camp has opened with a high degree of optimism.  There are several key battles to keep an eye on as Coach Gary Kubiak and Richard Smith will have a difficult time getting the team down to 53 players.
 
Offensively, the name to watch is Duane Brown, the Texans first round pick out of Virginia Tech.  Houston was widely criticized for the selection but Brown has a great chance to start.  Last year's left tackle Ephraim Salaam is ready if Brown needs more time.  Mike Brisiel is battling last year's starter Fred Weary at left guard and is also seeing some time at center.  Alex Gibbs is having a dramatic impact on the o-line and he will have some difficult choices on who makes the team, particularly at guard and center.  Another name to watch is Greg Eslinger at center. 
 
Wide receiver is set at the top four positions but the depth is better this year.  Tim Carter is challenging David Anderson for the fifth spot on the team.  Special teams performance will be key in who remains on the squad.  Darnell Jenkins and LeRon McCoy have also impressed, although the practice squad is a more likely destination.
 
Running back has also been exciting.  Ahman Green is clearly the starter and rookie Steve Slaton will be a change of pace back.  Chris Brown has missed a great deal of practice time and may be working his way off the team.  Mike Bell was added as a free agent once camp started.  Chris Taylor has been impressive coming back from injury.  He is a good special teamer and is seeing action at fullback.  It is possible that he will take Jameel Cook's spot on the team.
 
The depth on the defensive side of the ball is going to make cuts even more difficult than on the offensive side of the ball.  Tim Bulman is seeing action at defensive end and will challenge both ND Kalu and Earl Cochran for a back-up job.  Rookie Frank Okam has shown a great deal of promise as a run stuffer and will battle Jeff Zgonina and Anthony Maddox for a reserve spot.  Rosevelt Colvin was signed as a free agent and will see action at linebacker and as a pass rusher.
 
Zach Diles continues to hold the last starting spot at linebacker but he is being challenged by Kevin Bentley and rookie Xavier Adibi.  Bentley is also seeing time at middle linebacker.  Adibi is seeing action at both outside spots.  Free agent Kevis Coley is showing well and is good on special teams.  Chaun Thompson has missed some time with injury and will need to show something when he returns to the practice field.
 
Rooke cornerback Antwaun Molden has been a revelation and will see time in nickle and dime situations and could eventually contend for a starting role.  He is big, physical, and a quick study at the position.  It would not be a shock to see either Demarcus Faggins or Jamar Fletcher get cut. 
 
The battle at safety is even fiercer.  Glenn Earl is challenging for a starting job that are currently held by Will Demps and CC Brown.  Nick Ferguson is a solid veteran.  Brandon Harrison is the mosted gifted physically and is starting to make a push.  The team also likes Dominique Barber but he may be looking at a practice squad spot unless he steps up his game.
 

5/1/08

The Texans draft unfolded much as I suspected it would.  Branden Albert and Chris Williams were good fits at left tackle for Houston but were gone by the time the Texans were on the clock.  The two corners they coveted were also gone.  Rather than force a pick the team moved back and still got their man in Duane Brown.  You can certainly argue that he was a bit of a reach but there was a significant drop off at tackle after him and Houston could not gamble and move back any further.  Brown fits the mold of an Alex Gibbs tackle and will work his way in to the lineup quicker than many are giving him credit for.  Houston was also able to get a third and sixth round pick in the deal and that was to prove very valuable.
 
In the third round Houston selected Eastern Kentucky corner Antwaun Molden.  The team may well have liked to have gotten Charles Godfrey or Reggie Smith but neither was there when the Texans chose.  Houston prefers taller, more physical corners and Molden fits the bill.  While he is not as refined as some other big school corners he does have a bigger upside.  The team will look to use him in the nickle and dime packages while he developes.  With their second third round selection the Texans took West Virginia scatback Steve Slaton.  I have some reservations about him because of the number of carries he had in college and the declining production during his senior season.  There is no denying he brings a change of pace back for the Texans.  Houston has more physical runners in Ahman Green and Chris Brown and were looking to add a speed dimension to the offense.  He will not be looked upon to be more than a third down back and hopefully he can be very effective in that role.
 
The Texans hope to have hit on another contributor at linebacker with the selection of Xavier Adibi of Virginia Tech.  Adibi is a smaller framed linebacker that can go from sideline to sideline.   He will act as cover for Morlon Greenwood on the weak side.  With Greenwood eligible to become a free agent after this season, Smith and Kubiak will look to see if Adibi can replace Greenwood effectively should he decide to leave.  Frank Okam of Texas was the fifth round choice and is a boom or bust kind of guy.  He represents great value at that spot in the draft and could end up being a steal if he decides to commit himself to the game.  He is one of the smarter players in the draft and is looking at law school in the off season.  Okam can be the big run stuffer inside that the Texans have lacked.  Free safety Dominique Barber of Minnesota was chosen in the sixth round.  I would have preferred Corey Lynch.  Barber is more gifted athletically and comes from NFL bloodlines but has been spotty in his production.  The Texan's final choice was Washington St. quarterback Alex Brink.  He is a productive passer with limited arm strength.  He is an ideal number three and probably leaves open the possibility that the team could trade Sage Rosenfels if the right offer comes along.  Quinn Gray would still be available as the number two in that scenario.
 
The Texans drafted to fill specific needs on the team and looked for role players.  While other drafts will certainly be rated higher, the Texans could come away with addressing many of their concerns.  They still would like to get a better pass rushing end opposite Mario Williams.  I also believe the team will probably resign Fred Weary as his rehab progresses.
 

4/26/08

As draft day approaches things are not getting much clearer for the Texans.  They are expected to focus on the offensive line, secondary and the running game along with trying to find a pass rusher in the draft.  The general consensus is that they will select a left tackle if they feel one fits the system.  They would love to get Branden Albert but he is not likely to fall to them.  Questions surrounding the health of Chris Williams may prevent the Texans from choosing him.  It is unlikely that tackles such as Jeff Otah or Gosder Cherilus will interest the team.
 
In the secondary, Leodis McKelvin is expected to be long gone.  They have interest in Dominique Rogers-Cromartie as well.  If both are gone, expect the team to next look at Brandon Flowers.  They do not appear to have as much interest in Mike Jenkins or Aqib Talib.  There is a slight possibility the team will consider Kenny Phillips at 18.  If either Derrick Harvey or Keith Rivers were to fall they would receive consideration as well.
 
As for the running back position, it seems they would prefer not to take a running back in the first round although Rashard Mendenhall would tempt them.  The health of Jonathan Stewart is a concern and they would hesitate to take him.  It is more likely that the team will address this position later in the draft although a running back in round one cannot be ruled out.
 
The Texans will also entertain trades.  It is highly unlikely they would move up because of the shortage of draft selections.  They will entertain moving down if a player they love does not fall to them at 18.  The team has been relatively tight-lipped regarding who they have an interest in.  You can be certain that they will select the best available player on their board regardless of position.

2/29/08

The Texans do not expect to very active going for high profile free agents as the signing window opens.  Richard Smith and Gary Kubiak have taken care of a critical need in resigning Andre Davis to a four year contract.  The move likely spells the end of Jerome Mathis tenure with the team.  He is not expected to be tendered a contract and will become a free agent.  The team will make no effort to keep him.  Houston will look at wrapping up a couple of deals with Texan defenders who are about to become free agents.  Von Hutchins is a high priority because of his versatility.  You can also expect them to try and bring back Charlie Anderson.  He is a sound special team player and a solid reserve.
 
The first free agent the team will entertain is Rex Hadnot of the Miami Dolphins.  He is a former Houston Cougar and a Lufkin native.  Hadnot can play both center and guard and would solidy the interior offensive line.  The Texans may bring back Fred Weary but he will face competition for the starting job and will not merit a big deal.  The other area the team will look at closely in the early days of free agency is the secondary.  There signees will not be of the Asante Samuel variety and will likely be servicable veterans that can be signed for a moderate price.   They will look at corners and at free safety.
 
As for the rest of free agency, do not expect the Texans to invest money in offensive skill positions.  It remains a possibility that they may explore other veteran offensive linemen.  Most of the work will be on the defensive side of the ball.  A legitimate pass rusher such as Travis LaBoy is seen as an important goal of free agency.  The team will also look closely at the outside linebackers who can be had at a reasonable price and perhaps a run stuffing defensive tackle. 
 
The Texans seem to be leaning towards selecting a cornerback rather than an offensive tackle with their first selection of the draft.  Brandon Flowers of Virginia Tech is someone they really like and who the team feels is very similar to Dunta Robinson.  They would also be interested in Mike Jenkins, Antonio Rodgers-Cromartie or Leodis McKelvin.  I do think the team will entertain the idea of selecting Chris Williams if he were available.  It is very unlikely that a running back will be taken in the first round unless they were to trade down and pick up additional selections. 
 

1/1/08

The Houston Texans have ended their first season at the .500 mark.  Although some Texan fans are impatient for success the team is unquestionably headed in the right direction and the team has reason for hope for a playoff berth next year.  The Texans will play a fourth place schedule which will help although playing in the AFC South will make it challenging.
 
Head Coach Gary Kubiak and General Manager Richard Smith deserve credit for the direction they are taking the team in and their personnel decisions on the whole have been excellent.  This off season the team will have some money under the salary cap and will need to address several areas.  Few positions on the team could be considered complete.  As was the case last off season the team will look to spend responsibly in free agency.  It is possible the team could try and add a starter or two via free agency. 
 
The team must first take care of some of their own free agents.  Defensive backs Von Hutchins, Glenn Earl and Will Demps will probably all be brought back as well as linebackers Charlie Anderson and Danny Clark.  ND Kalu and Andre Davis will also likely be back.  On the restricted front Anthony Maddox and C.C. Brown are the two biggest priorities.  It would not be a surprise to see the Texans let starting left guard Fred Weary and return specialist Jerome Mathis walk.  Mark Bruener and Ron Dayne also could be brought back but the team will look to do better before resigning them.
 
The team must solidify the offensive line either via the draft or free agency.  The team cannot count on Charles Spencer to return at left tackle and Ephraim Salaam is at best a reserve.  The team will also look to upgrade the guard position previously occupied by Weary.  Eric Winston could be moved down or the team could sign a free agent.  A new starting running back must be found.  Darius Walker is a solid reserve.  Ron Dayne could be functional as a situational back.  Chris Taylor will be given one more opportunity to prove he belongs in the league.  None of these can be considered starting options.  The team may go after Michael Turner, Julius Jones or Derrick Ward but none of them are worth overpaying.  A draft pick is more likely to be spent here.
 
While the defense has improved there is still a need to get a better pass rush.  Travis LaBoy, Antwan Odom and Justin Smith are possibilities for improving the pass rush.  It is possible that the defensive line could see salary cap casualties in Anthony Weaver and Travis Johnson.  The team would like to upgrade over Danny Clark at strongside linebacker but will have to be selective.
 
The biggest area of need on the defense is improving the depth of the secondary.  The team will likely start next year with Dunta Robinson on the PUP list.  Fred Bennett has been servicable as a starter.  Von Hutchins is probably best suited as a sub and special teamer.  Demarcus Faggins could be on the way out as could Jamar Fletcher.  The team would like a new starter at corner and an impact player at safety opposite Will Demps.  In the AFC South you must be deep in the secondary in order to win.
 
The Texans will also have to replace offensive coordinator Mike Sherman who has left to become the head coach at Texas A&M.  It is not known whether any Texan assistants will accompany him to A&M.  Kyle Shanahan is a possibility for the offensive coordinator position.  The team may also look to either trade down or trade one of their assets for additional draft picks.  Sage Rosenfels will not be one of the players the team will look to trade.
 

11/22/07

The New Orleans game demonstrated the value Andre Johnson has to the offense.  Johnson and Matt Schaub have developed a good chemistry and Johnson's presence makes the Texans anemic running game much more effective.  The Texans are pleased with the development of Kevin Walter as a second receiver and Andre Davis has been a pleasant surprise as a deep threat and solid fill-in for Johnson.  The offense still lacks a proven run producer and the team must be concerned with the ability of Ahman Green to stay healthy.  Green is the only Texans back to show even the hint of being a decent starter.
 
Mario Williams had his best game as a pro and one could argue that of the three players the Texans considered drafting number one, Williams has been the most productive.  Vince Young has been slow to improve as a passer and has been plagued by injuries.  Reggie Bush has been solid but he is not even the best running back in that class.  The Texans front seven continues to improve although the team must continue to get better at pressuring the passer.  The big concern for the defense is the secondary.  Dunte Robinson was clearly the leader and best player in the secondary.  He has a long way back from his injuries.  Fred Bennett may prove to be a solid starter.  Demarcus Faggins has proven he is little more than a nickel corner.  Von Hutchins has been servicable in a number of roles but his value to the team is more as a super sub than as a starter.  Will Demps is being given a trial to show he deserves the starting job at safety opposite C.C. Brown.  Glenn Earl will be back next year but it is questionable whether he is capable of being a starter.
 
The Texans enter a tough closing stretch at .500 for the first time this late in the season.  While a playoff berth is not likely, particularly considering their spot in the cellar of the AFC South, the team could reach .500 with a strong finish.  The next two road games in Cleveland and Tennessee are critical.  A win against Tennessee could give the team a leg up in moving past them in the AFC South standings.  While the team will obviously be playing to win each of the games, they are also hoping to get a look at some younger players.  Kasey Studdard should see some action at guard and Darius Walker may well be brought up from the practice squad to get a look at running back.  The team must make some evaluations of these players and others before moving in to the off season.
 
The team will be more active in the free agent market this year.  Running back, the offensive line and secondary will be the major focus this off season.  Fred Weary is one starter that could leave as a free agent.  The team will likely try and re-sign Danny Clark, Von Hutchins and Andre Davis.  Role players like Charlie Anderson, N.D. Kalu, Shante Orr, Will Demps and Ron Dayne could also be brought back.  Like last year the team will look to upgrade depth with some bargain signings.  They will likely make one or two major free agent moves.  The team will likely address running back in the draft rather than pay for a free agent.  They could well upgrade the offensive line and secondary via free agency.  Gary Kubiak and Richard Smith have done wonders in making this team competitive but the coming off season will be critical in making them a viable playoff contender.
 

10/13/07

After the first five games the Texans have discovered that while they are greatly improved there is still a ways to go to make it into the upper echelon of the AFC.  The Texans have been ravaged by injuries on the offensive side of the ball, losing star receiver Andre Johnson for three games and Jacoby Jones for a couple as well as starting center Steve McKinney for the season.  Ahman Green has missed a couple of games and significant playing time in two others because of nagging injuries.

Matt Schaub has been all that the Texans had hoped he would be when they acquired him from the Atlanta Falcons for two second round picks and an exchange of first round positions last year.  Houston fans questioned the trade when it was first made thinking the team gave up to much.  Those critics have been silenced.  Schaub is a tremendous leader with excellent decision making and the ability to put the ball where he needs to.  If the Texans can keep him healthy the quarterback situation has been resolved.

The Texans have to be pleased with the development of the receiving corps as well.  Andre Johnson was brilliant before being injured and the rest of the group has stepped up allowing Johnson the time to properly recover from his injuries.  Jacoby Jones looks like a future starter and playmaker.  He gives the Texans a home run threat opposite Johnson.  Andre Davis has seen his career revived in Houston and has demonstrated the ability to make the tough catch as well as showing deep speed.  Kevin Walters has been solid as a possession receiver.  Only Jerome Mathis has been a little disappointing.  His return abilities are unquestioned but he still lacks development as a receiver.  He has been lost for the year and will have a hard time making the team next year.  Owen Daniels is the team's leading receiver and continues to improve.  Jeb Putzier and Mark Bruener are role players at tight end.

Ahman Green has clearly been the team's best running back.  Ron Dayne and Samkon Gado have disappointed when trying to spell Green and the running game has completely foundered since Green went down.  The team has some home for Chris Taylor, currently on injured reserve, and Darius Walker who is on the practice squad.  The Texans will likely address this position early in next year's draft.  Vonta Leach and Jameel Cook have been solid at fullback.

The alarming lack of depth in the offensive line is being exposed.  Steve McKinney was very good at center before he went down.  Mike Flanagan has lost a step and is not as effective as McKinney.  He may be forced to take a pay cut to stay with the team in the future.  Chester Pitts and Fred Weary have been solid at guard but there is little behind them.  The same goes for tackle.  Eric Winston has become a solid right tackle but Ephraim Salaam has been exposed at left tackle.  Salaam is solid as a third tackle but is not what you are looking for in a starter.  There is little in the way of backup help.  Charles Spencer will likely go on IR for the year and the Texans have hope that he will be able to play next year.  The o-line will have to be addressed in the coming off season.  The Texans will look for depth in the free agent market and could well select one of the big three offensive tackles in the first round of this year's draft.

The d-line has been dramatically improved.  Amobi Okoye is making a run at defensive rookie of the year and has been a good pass rusher on the inside.  Mario Williams is steadily making his presence felt and has become a better pass rusher.  Travis Johnson is trying to shed the bust label and has been better at tackle.  Anthony Maddox and Jeff Zgonina give the Texans a strong rotation.  Shante Orr, Anthony Weaver and ND Kalu have all been solid in there respective roles.

Demeco Ryans remains one of the NFL's best inside linebackers.  Danny Clark has been a strong addition and an enforcer in the run defense.  Morlon Greenwood has been solid in pass coverage.  The depth of the linebacker corps is good and there level of play has been consistent through the season.

The starting cornerback opposite Dunte Robinson remains a bit of a concern.  Robinson has been one of the NFL's best at corner and is tremendous in run support as well.  Demarcus Faggins has been picked on and is sharing time with rookie Fred Bennett.  Bennett may be the long term solution with Faggins better suited as a nickel corner.  Jamar Fletcher and Dexter Wynn have been serviceable.  The Texans have to be pleased with the development of Von Hutchins at safety.  He is paired with CC Brown with Michael Boulware and Michael Demps seeing plenty of action off of the bench.  The team initially was looking at this as an area in need of improvement for next year but may end up standing pat with the anticipated return of Glenn Earl.

Special teams play has been a bright spot.  Kris Brown is having his best year as a kicker and the punting and return games have been very good as well.  The return of Jacoby Jones will only improve special teams play.

This team is clearly on the way up.  Gary Kubiack has them believing they can win every game they play and there level of playing is much better.  Richard Smith must be commended for the fine job he has done in player personnel.  Another good off-season could see this team primed for the
playoffs.
 

9/9/07

The Houston Texans enter the 2007 NFL season with a new look.  Most of the roster has been remade during the Gary Kubiak era and now the club will begin the season with someone other than David Carr calling the signals.  That in itself is a call to rejoice for many frustrated Texan supporters who have wanted the franchise to walk away from Carr for the past couple of seasons.

While some Texan fans were upset with the price the team gave up to get Matt Schaub, few were questioning that something needed to be done.  In the face of the accusations facing Michael Vick there is no doubt the Falcons wish they could take the trade back.  For the Texans to be successful this year Schaub must become the player that Kubiak believes he is capable of becoming.  Already Schaub has demonstrated the leadership characteristics found lacking in David Carr.  He has also proven to be able to get rid of the ball quickly and to elude oncoming pass rushers despite his lack of foot speed.

The offensive side of the ball has a number of changes in the playmakers.  Ahman Green brings a veteran presence sorely lacking at running back.  While he no longer is a threat to break the long run, Green is reliable at finding the holes and in giving Schaub a legitimate receiving threat out of the backfield.  Rookie Jacoby Jones has been a revelation on special teams and has proven quite effective as a receiver.  He will see a good bit of playing time as the third receiver and could eventually supplant Kevin Walters for the second starting spot opposite Andre Johnson.

The offensive line remains the biggest question for the team.  Steve McKinney has beaten out Mike Flanagan for the starting job at center.  Chester Pitts and Fred Weary bring some stability at guard.  The tackle spots remain the big questions marks.  Eric Winston has taken over on the right side and continues to progress there.  Charles Spencer will start the year on the PUP list and may not play at all again this season as he continues to recover from his injury early last season.  Ephraim Salaam will hold down the left tackle starting job after beating out the disappointing Jordan Black in the preseason.  There is very little experienced depth on this team and injuries here could prove devastating.

The defensive side of the ball is where the team is counting on making up the most ground.  Last year's number one overall draft pick Mario Williams will be expected to produce a pass rush that he failed to deliver last year.   Veteran Anthony Weaver will hold down the opposite end spot although he has missed virtually all of camp with injury.  Jason Babin was traded after the cut down to acquire help at safety.  This year's first round pick Amobi Okoye will join with former first round pick Travis Johnson to anchor the interior.  Johnson had been considered a bust but has shown marked improvement during the preseason.  Last year's free agent surprise Anthony Maddox will also get plenty of snaps at defensive tackle.

The addition of Danny Clark and Shawn Barber has helped upgrade the linebacking corps.  Last year's outstanding rookie Demeco Ryans anchors the middle with Clark and Morlon Greenwood on the outside.  Barber is joined by Charlie Anderson and rookie surprise Zach Diles as backups.  Shante Orr started last year but will be a pass rush specialist and special teams performer this year.

The secondary remains a work in progress.  Newly acquired Jamar Fletcher has strengthened the cornerbacks with his play making ability.  Demarcus Faggins remains the starter opposite Dunte Robinson but Fletcher will see plenty of action.  Dexter Wynn and Fred Bennett also had a good preseason.  The injury to Glenn Earl helped bring about the acquisition of Michael Boulware from Seattle.  Boulware will challenge Von Hutchins and Jason Simmons for playing time opposite C.C. Brown.  The safety spot is the biggest question mark on the defense.

Matt Turk won a tightly contested punting contest with Chad Stanley and will be joined by an improved Kris Brown as the Texans specialists.  One area of dramatic upgrade this preseason has been the return game.  Jerome Mathis is healthy and will be the primary kick returner.  Jacoby Jones has been the most exciting return man since Billy "White Shoes" Johnson in returning punts.

The team is certainly headed in the right direction and improvement is to be expected.  A .500 season will probably be the minimum acceptable performance.  The Texans should be able to reach that provided that the offensive line can stay healthy and if Matt Schaub is as good as Kubiack thinks he can be.  At the very least people are starting to get excited about this team and it has been a while since that happened.
 

7/28/07

The Texans are not expecting trouble getting any of their draft picks in to camp on time.  Still unsigned are Amobi Okoye, Fred Bennett and Brandon Frye.  Both Bennett and Frye should be signed shortly and progress is being made with Okoye.  The team also signed Matt Turk to challenge Chad Stanley at punter.  The team was not happy with Stanley's slide in performance last year.  This does not necessarily mean the end of Stanley in Houston but Turk will be given a chance to win the position.

The biggest drama in camp will be sorting out the wide receiver situation apart from Andre Johnson.  Jacoby Jones has now signed but he is not expected at this time to challenge for a starting spot and will be used primarily as a deep threat and in the return game.  Houston also signed journeyman Bethel Johnson recently.  Johnson and Andre Davis are both viewed as veteran deep threats and return specialists who will challenge the disappointing Jerome Mathis for a spot on the team.  It is possible that the team may keep two of these guys but not likely.  Kevin Walters remains the odds on choice to be the starter opposite Johnson but he does not have any starting experience.  The team continues to look for veteran options.  The big hope is Keenan McCardell deciding to end his career in his home town.  The Texans can offer little over the veteran minimum because of their salary cap difficulties and it is questionable whether they can persuade McCardell to take that offer.  A trade and the waiver wire remain options as well.

Charles Spencer continues to make progress in his rehab but he remains very unlikely to be ready at the start of the season.  He could well end up on the PUP list and then brought back mid season.  The key for the Texan offense is whether or not Jordan Black, Ephraim Salaam and Eric Winston can handle the tackle positions.  If these guys come through then Matt Schaub should have some success throwing the ball and Ahman Green will be effective running the ball.  The team has been very active remaking the roster during the off season and they will continue to make changes through the pre-season.
 

7/9/07

The Houston Texans continue their makeover in year two under Gary Kubiak and the signs of change are all over.  Gone are several of the personnel mistakes committed by Charlie Casserly and Dom Capers.   In their place are a number of rookies along with veterans gleaned off the free agent lists to bring a stable presence to the organization.  Many of the free agents signed were brought in as backups who can help teach the younger guys and make an impact in selected situations.

Offensively, the Texans have made the decision to move on from the David Carr era with his release following the acquisition of Matt Schaub from Atlanta.  Houston paid a steep price to acquire Schaub, giving up a second round pick this year and next year along with swapping places in the first round this year.  Carr was not the only veteran let go.  Eric Moulds was released and the team is still searching for his replacement.  Zach Weigert was let go as well and will be replaced at the start of the year by Eric Winston.

QUARTERBACK:  The Matt Schaub era has begun in Houston.  Through the post draft practices Schaub's leadership style has been hailed as a significant improvement over David Carr's leadership style.  The Texans will likely not ask him to roll out as much as Carr as Schaub is better suited to stay in the pocket.  Gary Kubiak must be complemented for adapting the Texans' offense to take advantage of Schaub's skill set instead of asking him to fit into an existing system.  Sage Rosenfels gives Houston a capable veteran back-up should something happen to Schaub.  The third spot is likely to come down to Bradlee Van Pelt and undrafted rookie free agent Jared Zabransky from Boise State.  Zabransky has good leadership skills and is a strong candidate for the practice squad should he fail to make the regular season squad.

RUNNING BACK:  Ahman Green was the big name free agent signing for the Texans.  He has been a leader in the workouts this spring and seems determined to show the team's investment in him was a good one.  Green is the most gifted back Houston has had in its short history.  Green will give Schaub a viable option out of the backfield.  His ability to stay healthy through a full season will be critical.  Ron Dayne will likely be the second option and short yardage back for Coach Kubiak.  He is the top returning rusher for the team but is really not well suited to be a starter.  The remaining spots on the team will be very competitive.  Samkon Gado has the
most experience but is probably a long shot right now to make the team.  Last year's rookie duo of Wali Lundy and Chris Taylor showed some promise but neither has really established himself as a viable go to option should either Green or Dayne go down.  Notre Dame early entry Darius Walker was signed as an undrafted free agent and will also be in the mix for a roster spot or practice squad position.

FULLBACK:  The Texans matched the offer sheet on Vonta Leach and he enters the season in the starter's roll.  Leach was an in season pickup who showed promise as a talented lead blocker and occasional running option.  Jameel Cook will try and maintain a spot on the team.  Cory Anderson was picked up as an undrafted free agent and could provide a cheaper alternative to Cook.

WIDE RECEIVER:  It is Andre Johnson and a cast of several at the wideout position.  Johnson is one of the game's most talented receivers but he has little support with the Texans.  Last year's free agent signing Kevin Walter is now penciled in as the second starter opposite Johnson.  Walter is a big target but largely unproven.  Jerome Mathis could be on his way out soon if he cannot show that he can stay healthy and provide a legitimate deep threat.  He is a talented return man but Kubiak requires more versatility in the position.  Third round draft pick Jacoby Jones is a work in progress.  Kubiak hopes he is a fast learner.  Andre' Davis is another potential deep threat but his career has been going in reverse as of late.  David Anderson, Charlie Adams, Harry Williams, Terry Richardson and Onrea Jones are probably training camp fodder.  Kubiak still hopes to sign a veteran to bring stability to the position.  Houston resident Keenan McCardell was brought in but the team is up against the salary cap and can probably not afford him.  They will watch the waiver wire closely at this position.

TIGHT END:  This is the only stable area on the offense.  Owen Daniels is established as a starter after a very promising rookie season.  He is the best all around tight end on the team.  Mark Bruener brings veteran savvy and a strong blocking presence.  Jeb Putzier is the biggest receiving threat and can handle H-back duties as well.  Barring injury these three will be the only ones to make the team.

TACKLE:  The biggest question here remains the status of Charles Spencer.  Before his knee injury Spencer had earned the starting left tackle job and was looking like a third round steal.  Spencer is facing a difficult rehab and could possibly see his career ended.  The early word is that rehab has gone well but he is not likely to be ready to start the season.  Jordan Black was signed as a free agent and could well inherit the job to begin the year.  Black is also someone who could be moved to the right side if Spencer is able to come back.  Eric Winston showed dramatic improvement over the course of last season and is penciled in at the right tackle spot.  His long term future could still be at guard.  Ephraim Salaam was re-signed to give the team a veteran backup presence and he has the versatility to play either
side.  Brandon Frye was a fifth round draft pick out of Virginia Tech and is a work in progress.  He could be the right tackle of the future if he continues to develop.

GUARD:  Chester Pitts and Fred Weary return at the guard positions.  Pitts is probably the team's best lineman and he has the talent to become one of the league's better performers at the position.  Steve McKinney can be called on to fill in at either position should Pitts or Weary go down.  Eric Winston can also move down to guard and will probably end up there in the future.  Sixth round pick Kasey Studdard comes from a winning program in Texas and should make the team as a reserve.  Atlas Herrion, Scott Jackson and Enoka Lucas will also battle for reserve spots and practice squad positions.

CENTER:  Mike Flanagan will hope to stay healthy this year.  He brings a veteran's stabilizing influence to the young offensive line.  Steve McKinney backs Flanagan and is a very capable reserve.  Drew Hodgdon will have to scramble to make the team this year.  Enoka Lucas can also play center.


Defensively the team looked to bring more of a veteran influence into the squad.  Antwan Peek was allowed to leave via free agency because he was better suited to the 3-4.  Seth Payne was also let go after battling repeated injuries.  Kailee Wong was allowed to leave as his contract did not match his production.  The team looked to veterans to shore up their reserve corps while also adding four draft picks including first round selection Amobi Okoye.

DEFENSIVE END:  A healthy Mario Williams will be expected to dominate as a pass rusher this year.  He has the ability to be one of the game's best and should make dramatic improvements this year.  Anthony Weaver will start on the left side and is a solid run defender.  He will move inside on passing downs.  ND Kalu was re-signed to bring veteran leadership and he was a capable rotation performer last year.  Jason Babin led the team in sacks last year and has to prove his worth to remain with the team beyond this year.  Alfred Malone, Earl Cochran and Victor Degrate will all compete for a spot on the team and would be strong candidates to be signed to the practice squad should they get cut.

DEFENSIVE TACKLE:  This position has seen the biggest upgrade from last year's squad.  The Texans were surprised to see Amobi Okoye slip to them and wasted no time drafting him.  Okoye has the potential to become a dominant interior force and bring some pass rushing ability as well.  Anthony Maddox was signed as a free agent last year and fit in wonderfully in the Texans' scheme.  He will battle former first round pick Travis Johnson and veteran free agent Jeff Zgonina for the second starting spot.  Johnson has been a disappointment thus far and really needs to step up his game to remain with the organization.  He could be traded if a decent offer comes along.  Thomas Johnson, Cedric Killings and Tim Bulman all saw action last year and are solid though not long term solutions.

LINEBACKER:  Demeco Ryans is a Pro Bowl caliber performer and the leader of the defense.  He should only get better.  Morlon Greenwood remains the starter on the weak side.  Shantee Orr and Charlie Anderson will battle it out on the strong side.  Both came to the team as a pash rush specialist and a 3-4 outside backer but both have made the adjustment to the 4-3 better than expected.  Both are also solid special teams performers.  Danny Clark and Shawn Barber were brought in to upgrade the reserves and bring veteran leadership.  Zach Diles and Jon Abbate are promising rookies who were very productive at the college level but lack ideal size and speed for the next level.

CORNERBACK:  Dunta Robinson is the leader of the secondary and a shut down corner.  He defends the run as well as the pass.  Demarcus Faggins is the starter on the opposite side but is better suited to be a nickel back.  Jamar Fletcher played the nickel in Detroit and will compete for a spot with the Texans.  Fred Bennett was drafted out of South Carolina and could play his way into the rotation.  Dexter Wynn returns to the position although his primary value is on special teams.  Dexter McCleon and Von Hutchins also return and both were given looks at safety as well.

SAFETY:  Glenn Earl and C.C. Brown return as starters although both are probably best suited to play the strong safety position.  Brandon Harrison was a fifth round pick from Stanford and will be tried at free safety.  Veteran Jason Simmons returns as a backup there and will be hard to unseat because of his versatility.  Roc Alexander, John Walker and Brandon Mitchell will also fight for a spot but are probably on the outside looking in.  The Texans will also scan the waiver wire here.

SPECIAL TEAMS:  Kris Brown, Chad Stanley and Bryan Pittman should return in their respective roles of placekicker, punter and deep snapper.  Jerome Mathis is a former Pro Bowl performer as a return specialist but he must demonstrate that he can stay healthy and contribute as a wide receiver to remain with the team.  Jacoby Jones, Andre Davis, David Anderson, Chris Taylor and Dexter Wynn are among the other candidates to be the primary return man.

The team is heading in the right direction and may be able to challenge for an 8 win season.  Anything more than that would be shocking.  The biggest things to look for this season is how Matt Schaub fits in to the offense, will the offensive line improve, how will the young impact performers on defense mature and can the team find any other go to skill position player besides Andre Johnson.  Positive answers to these questions will spell improvement for the team and the hopes of contending for a playoff spot in the foreseeable future.

 

4/28/07

The Texans have been playing things close to the vest about what they are going to do.  Most mock drafts seem to have the Texans settling on Leon Hall at cornerback while hoping that Adrian Peterson, Laron Landry or Levi Brown may fall to them.  Another name is beginning to emerge for the Texans.  Patrick Willis, the linebacker from Mississippi would be another impact player for the team and he would likely play the strongside linebacker spot currently held by Shante Orr.  The Texans want the player they select in the first round to be a starter from day one and provide an immediate upgrade as a starter.

I still believe that the team would like to trade down but it is looking like it will be hard to get good trade value to move down.  In order for the Texans to make a move an impact player would have to slip.  If that were to happen the Texans would likely select him unless it was a quarterback.   It appears the Texans have cooled on Alan Branch as have many other teams.  Amobi Okoye is also a possibility at ten although it seems likely the team will go another way.

In the third round the Texans will hope to find a receiver Like Aundrae Allison or David Clowney, an offensive tackle like Doug Free, a cornerback like Jonathan Wade or Daymeion Hughes or a pass rusher like Brian Robison or Lamar Woodley.  It seems that if the team wants to acquire more picks that moving down here may be a better option.  It would be fair to say that the best available athlete philosophy will prevail and that some selections will leave Texans' fans saying we don't need someone there but if you look at last year's draft very few people were looking at the Texans taking a linebacker in the second round.  That pick turned out pretty well and Houston will hope to catch lightning in a bottle again.


 

4/18/07

Gary Kubiak’s massive undertaking in rebuilding the Texans has made significant strides this off-season. The obvious big news is the departure of David Carr and the trade for Matt Schaub. Many Texans’ fans were upset with the price the Texans paid to acquire Schaub but it is critical for the team to move forward at the quarterback position. Carr was obviously not going to work in Houston. They could not find a trade partner because of the salary still owed Carr.

Houston was fortunate not to give up a first round pick in getting Schaub but they now have only six selections in the draft. They figure to try and acquire more picks on draft day. I cannot envision a scenario in which the Texans would try and trade up. There are very few areas on the team that could not use improvement and so “the best available player” makes sense for the team.

The Texans are set at quarterback for now. Schaub seems to be fitting in well and there is an excitement about his leadership skills. Sage Rosenfels is a quality backup. The team will likely sign an undrafted free agent to compete with Bradlee Van Pelt and Quinton Porter for the third slot.

Ahman Green was the team’s other high profile acquisition. Green signed a long term contract designed to spread out the signing bonus and lower his cap figure for this year. He goes in as the undisputed number one with Ron Dayne as his backup. Wali Lundy and Chris Taylor will contend for the third spot. If Adrian Peterson were to miraculously fall to them at ten he should be an easy choice. If not, I don’t expect the Texans to draft a running back. They could go after an undrafted free agent.

The wide receiver position has a number of questions marks. Andre Johnson signed a contract extension to solidify the number one spot for years. Kevin Walters is listed as the other starter. Andre’ Davis was recently signed as a deep threat and slot receiver. Jerome Mathis position with the team remains tenuous because of his lack of progress as a position player. It would not be a surprise to see him let go at some point. The Texans will probably use an earlier pick to address depth at the position. Ted Ginn is appealing at ten because of his ability to return kicks as well as play receiver. I would be surprised to see them use a pick at ten to choose a receiver. If they go that route I think they will try and trade down. I prefer a more physical receiver like Dwayne Bowe. I think a receiver at three or four makes more sense with East Carolina’s Aundrae Allison, Washington State’s Jason Hill or Virginia Tech’s David Clowney as possibilities.

The offensive line is an area that Houston must upgrade. They signed Jordan Black as a free agent to provide depth at offensive tackle. If Levi Brown is available at ten the team will seriously consider taking him. If Charles Spencer is able to make it back he could move to the right side with Eric Winston moving to guard. If the Texans do not take an offensive lineman in the first round they will certainly address the position later in the draft. In addition to tackle they could use an interior lineman who could play center or guard.

Upgrading the pass rush is critical for the Texans. In the off-season they lost Antwan Peek and would like to move Anthony Weaver to tackle. Houston also signed Jeff Zgonina to bring another veteran presence to the team. At ten Houston may go for a tackle with both Alan Branch and Amobi Okoye making sense. If the team trades down then a defensive end like Jamal Anderson or Jarvis Moss may make sense. Later in the draft Brian Robison, Jay Moore or Lamar Woodley could be available.

The secondary is a big area of need. Jamar Fletcher was signed in free agency but he is better suited to play in nickel and dime situations. The team could use their first pick to select either Leon Hall or Darrelle Revis. They would love to get Laron Landry but he will not fall that far. A trade down could bring Brandon Merriweather or Reggie Nelson in to play. Regardless of whether the team chooses a defensive back in the first round it will be an area addressed in the draft.

The Texans could also use some help at linebacker. The signing of veterans Danny Clark and Shawn Barber could spell the end of Kailee Wong’s stay with team. The Texans also spoke with D. D. Lewis and he could still be signed. If so you could also see them part ways with Morlon Greenwood. Expect the Texans to either draft an outside linebacker or sign one or more as undrafted free agents.

At this point the team is playing it close to the vest as to what they plan to do. There are so many areas that need addressing that they will get someone who can come in immediately and help. There is a one in three chance that they will trade down in the first round to acquire extra picks. Certainly the Texans have made some positive moves this off season but it is obvious that there is still a lot of work to do.

2/1/07

The Texans off-season plans are a work in progress. The team has made some notable changes to the coaching staff. The promotion of Mike Sherman to offensive coordinator was expected and should provide continuity to the offense. It will benefit the team greatly to have a coach of his caliber on the staff for another year. The other notable change was the hiring of Frank Bush as assistant head coach-defense. Gary Kubiak had wanted to hire Bush last year but was prevented from doing so by the Arizona Cardinals.

As to the inevitable changes to the team, it begins with the quarterback position. The Texans will likely try and move David Carr with the Minnesota Vikings a possible destination. It is clear that a fresh start would benefit Carr. The Texans would take a salary cap hit but it would not be a major one. The bigger question is what can the Texans get in return. The team would like to acquire additional draft picks but it is questionable how much value Carr has.

In the event that Carr is traded, the Texans would have to acquire another quarterback to take the starting position or at least compete with Sage Rosenfels. Jake Plummer of Denver is the most likely target at this time. The team would likely have to trade for him. Although it is possible that he will eventually be released by Denver, the Texans cannot afford to let him hit the open market if they get rid of Carr. Jeff Garcia is a fall back option but the team would prefer someone who offers stability at the position for at least a couple of years.

Free agency does not offer the Texans a lot of hope short of role players. The team has some money under the cap but probably not enough to be a player for the top free agents. The team will look to pick up some bargains and can also be expected to clear some more cap room by releasing veterans making too much money. Kailee Wong and Domenick Davis are two veterans who could fall in to that category.

As for the draft, the Texans need an impact performer in the first round and productive players in rounds 2-4. If they can replicate last year’s draft they will be very pleased. There is a lot of speculation that the team will select a running back with the eighth pick. If Adrian Peterson falls to that spot it is possible. I don’t think the team would reach for Marshawn Lynch at this spot. They would trade down if he was the pick. More likely is the selection of either an offensive tackle or defensive end.

Joe Thomas of Wisconsin would be the dream pick but he will not be available. Levi Brown of Penn State is moving up draft boards and he could be the Texan’s choice to fill the void at left tackle. If the team goes in a defensive direction, Arkansas defensive Jamal Anderson or Clemson defensive end Gaines Adams would be the likely choice. Although Houston could use help in the secondary, a safety like LSU’s Laron Landry is a long shot. The Texans will look to address QB, RB, OT, DE, OLB, CB and S during the off-season. Some will be addressed in free agency but the team will look to build through the draft.

12/18/06

The Texans have been absolutely dismal as of late and the gaping holes that still exist on this team have been exposed. There can be very few David Carr supporters remaining. Certainly he has struggled behind an offensive line that has been inept as of late. The area that Carr is most lacking is evident in contrast to the player Houston fans wanted to replace him last draft, Vince Young. While Young is a leader who inspires confidence in his teammates, Carr looks overwhelmed in most situations.

It would be a mistake for Houston fans to hold management’s mistake of selecting Mario Williams ahead of Young against the promising defensive end. While Williams has not made the impact some would have liked, he has shown promise and will be an outstanding defensive end. In fact, the Texans have done a good job of elevating the talent level in many areas on the team. There is still much work to do. Carr is not the answer at quarterback. The team desperately needs a go to running back. The offensive line still needs more talent. Defensively the team needs depth in virtually all areas and another playmaker or two.

The team must address quarterback before anything else. I don’t know that going for a Brady Quinn, Troy Smith or Jamarcus Russell is the answer. I think the Texans would prefer someone ready to go. Matt Schaub is the best free agent Quarterback. He is restricted but the Falcons will probably trade him rather than lose him in another year without compensation. They will want a number one pick and that is something the Texans will likely not do. The Texans may seek to acquire someone via trade. The Texan fans will want the team to trade Carr but they can expect little in return. It is possible they will find no takers at his current contract.

The chance to draft Adrian Peterson is very appealing. He is a much better fit than Reggie Bush was for this offense. The Texans cannot count on Domenick Davis and will have to address this position early in the draft. If they don’t take Peterson in the first round they will pick someone early in the draft. The player I would like to see the Texans get is Joe Thomas. He would solidify the left tackle position and allow the Texans to move Charles Spencer to the right side and Eric Winston inside to guard. The Texans must also find someone to succeed Mike Flanagan at center. Drew Hodgdon is not the answer.

The Texans will have some room under the cap for signing free agents. It is likely that the team will use this to address the defense. The defensive tackle position needs an upgrade. Seth Payne will likely not be back except at a cut rate deal. His recurrent health problems make it difficult to count on him. The team needs to get a run stopper.

The team struck gold with Demeco Ryans in the middle. He is a candidate for the defensive rookie of the year and could be a future Pro Bowl performer. The outside positions are where the team looks to get better. It is questionable whether Kailee Wong has a future with the team. Shante Orr, Morlon Greenwood and Charlie Anderson are solid but Coach Kubiak would like another playmaker here.

The cornerback position is in desperate need of an upgrade opposite Dunte Robinson. The rest of the Texans’ cornerbacks are better suited to be reserves. The team may look to find a free agent to take over the other starting spot. A new free safety to start opposite Glenn Earl will also be on the shopping list.

The Texans have noticeably improved from last year but it has made the inability of Carr to lead this team glaringly obvious. How the team resolves this will determine the success or failure of the coming off season.

11/10/06

The Texans continue to ride a rollercoaster of good and bad performances that has their fans wondering whether the team is headed in the right direction. At the center of the storm is Quarterback David Carr. Many Texan supporters have given up on Carr as a quarterback that can take the team to the playoffs. Sage Rosenfels is very popular with many of the fans who were encouraged by his second half performance against Tennessee. Texans Head Coach Gary Kubiak does not seem to have lost confidence in Carr and his bounce back performance against the Giants seems to have vindicated Kubiak’s faith in Carr. I think Texans fans have been unduly critical of Carr. He has certainly improved this season and considering the investment the Texans have made in him, deserves a chance to succeed. His accuracy has improved but he must get better in the red zone.

This team seems to have trouble establishing anything consistent in their offensive performance. The running game had been abysmal prior to the Jacksonville and Tennessee games. Wali Lundy appears to give the Texans their best chance at a solid running back but he performed poorly against the Giants. Running back remains a position that must be upgraded in the coming off season. Lundy may be a good change of pace back but he is not what the team needs as a first team ball carrier. Domenick Davis is likely through with the Texans. He is not a great fit in the offense and is damaged goods. If the Texans have a chance to take Adrian Peterson or Marshawn Lynch they should jump on it. They would give the Texans a physical presence in the backfield that can also break a big play. I do not think the Texans made a mistake in passing on Reggie Bush. If the Texans are able to add one of these two backs they will be better fits in the offense than Bush.

The Texans offensive line remains a work in progress. Ephraim Salaam is not the long term answer at left tackle although he should be kept as a veteran swing tackle. The Texans have to hope that Charles Spencer will come back healthy and ready to take over at left tackle. Kubiak must decide what to do at right tackle. Weigert is a free agent and on the down side of his career. He may be brought back at a veteran minimum. I think the Texans would like to see Eric Winston step in to the position but he must improve his game. The interior of the line has been improved but they need better depth at the position as Mike Flanagan and Steve McKinney are no longer young.

The receiving corps has been the bright spot of the Texans offense. Andre Johnson is one of the game’s best receivers and Eric Moulds has been a dramatic upgrade on the opposite side. Kevin Walter continues to justify the Texans’ pursuit of him as a restricted free agent last year. Owen Daniels looks like a very solid tight end for the future and Jeb Putzier has been a good receiving option. The Texans would probably like to add a deep threat who can return kicks.

The defensive line has been snakebit with injuries. Seth Payne may well have played his last game with the organization. Anthony Weaver has been a significant upgrade to the line and is a veteran presence. Mario Williams continues to grow into the position and gives the Texans a great physical presence at one end. Antwan Peek has rushed the passer well when healthy. Travis Johnson has made strides and is a better fit in the 4-3. N.D. Kalu has been very effective as a sub. Houston must continue to upgrade here, especially at defensive tackle.

Demeco Ryans is a candidate for Defensive Rookie of the Year and has been very good in the middle. The outside backers need to play better. Morlon Greenwood and Kailee Wong receive high salaries relative to their production. It would not surprise me to see either or both as salary cap casualties or at least as candidates for restructuring their contracts. The depth at the position is only marginal. This is a position in need of an upgrade.

The secondary has benefited from the return of Demarcus Faggins. The Texans had one legitimate star in Dunte Robinson and a bunch of complimentary parts. Another lock down corner would be good to add in a division that has the Colts. Faggins would be even better if he were only a nickel back. The Texans could also use more physical play in run support from their safeties.

The special teams have been a disappointment thus far for Houston. Kris Brown and Chad Stanley are in the bottom third on the NFL as kicker and punters. The return game has been poor with the loss of Jerome Mathis. Edell Shepherd is solid as a kick returner but has been mistake prone when trying to return punts. Dexter Wynn may be a good short term solution as a return man but the Texans will want to do better.

The organization has improved its overall talent level and is in the process of rectifying some of the bad decisions regarding personnel made by Charlie Casserly. They still have some bad contracts that will have to be culled. It would not be a surprise to see the Texans win 3 or 4 games in the second half of the season.

10/17/06

The Texans have just passed the quarter-pole of this season and the impact of Gary Kubiak and his staff is readily apparent. Kubiak has certainly stamped his competitive nature on this team and the improvement in David Carr’s performance is evident in his league leading quarterback rating. The long list of former Texans let go demonstrate the poor personnel decisions made prior to the current staff’s arrival.

The pre-season cuts of Todd Wade and Robaire Smith were two of the most noticible changes made to this team and removed two of the bigger salaries from the team. The team’s emphasis on versatility in its non-starters does not bode well for last season’s Pro Bowl returner Jerome Mathis. His attitude problems and lack of ability to contribute at wide receiver could spell his departure. The situations of Domenick Davis and Kailee Wong also bear watching. It would come as no surprise to see both dismissed before the start of the next free agent signing period.

The Texans draft this past year is hopefully an indication of things to come. Although Kubiak and the Texans have been criticized for the selection of Mario Williams over Reggie Bush and Vince Young, it appears the choice was a sound one. Carr’s improvement as a passer and team leader has been encouraging. While Bush is a breakaway threat, he does not fit the mold of the type of back Kubiak’s offense requires. Williams possesses freakish ability and gives the Texans a potential difference maker on the defensive line. Williams along with free agent signing Anthony Weaver have dramatically upgraded the defensive line.

The biggest difference for the Texans is finding legitimate contributors throughout the draft. Second round choice Demeco Ryans has been the starter from week one at middle linebacker and he has been outstanding. Third round pick Charles Spencer won the starting job at left tackle and prompted the release of third round bust Seth Wand. Spencer has since suffered a season-ending injury but he shows promise for the future. Fellow third round tackle Eric Winston is still a work in progress and may have to move inside. Winston has shown enough promise to keep the Texans excited about his future. Fourth round pick Owen Daniels has been a revelation at tight end and is a future starter at the position.

The Texans are not a threat to division leaders Indianapolis and Jacksonville but they are on the way up. Expect to see the roster continue to evolve over the course of the season. The next free agent signing period could be volatile as they try to shore up numerous weak spots.