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Detroit Lions Column

 

12/4/08

By: John McCarty

They be bad…..really bad.

After watching the complete disaster that was the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving, it’s safe to assume that there is going to be a house cleaning at Ford Field. Seriously, how can there not be? Marinelli has to go, it’s that simple. And without a new GM or Director of Player Personal, the organization has yet to address the front office. What should the Lions do? And who will make the decisions come draft day, and what should they do?

Well, as I mentioned in my previous column, I would go with Scott Pioli from the New England Patriots, however, we’ll save that debate for later on down the road. As the weather has become gloomy, and temperatures begin to make their arctic plunge for the winter season, let us take a look at the spring, and the 2009 NFL  Draft.

The Lions, barring some sort of miracle, will have the first overall pick. Teams that have the first overall pick, generally, go with a quarterback in that spot. Some turn out to be great decisions (Peyton Manning), while some do not (Tim Couch, Jeff George). However, if you look around the league, the majority of your starting quarterbacks are first or second round picks from the NFL Draft, with some exceptions (Tom Brady always comes to mind, and Tony Romo sure fits the bill, but he had years to develop before being thrust on to the main stage). Detroit, with two selections in the first and third round, more than anything, needs to come out of the 2009 draft’s first day with the quarterback of the future. If they decide that Dante Culpepper is their quarterback, then by all means, they keep him, and build around him. However, I’m not so sure that’s the case. Anyways, let us move forward with analysis of the situation.

For this part of the discussion, let’s assume the Lions decide to draft a quarterback with that first overall selection, there will be one, maybe two guys there worthy of being looked at. Everyone’s favorite, Matthew Stafford from the University of Georgia, and Heisman trophy favorite Sam Bradford from Oklahoma. Both would make great choices, and both are three years removed from high school. With that pick, I would go with Stafford for three reasons:

1.       He has played against SEC defenses, which are much better, and faster, than Big 12 defenses. Having played against this upper level of defensive competition will help with the adjustment to the NFL.

2.       He has never played behind a great offensive line, which is great training, because he wouldn’t be playing behind an offensive line in Detroit for his first couple years, so he’ll feel right at home. Bradford’s entire offensive line will be hearing the name on draft day, and if you watch Oklahoma highlights, you’ll notice that Bradford will sit in the pocket untouched for months.

3.       Bradford has played in a spread style offense against defenses that are, simply put, horrible. It’s easy to look good when that’s the situation. Stafford comes from a more pro style of offense, where he’s asked to make more true reads than Bradford has been asked to make.

So, with the first overall selection in the 2009 NFL Draft, the Detroit Lions select Matthew Stafford, QB, University of Georgia.

                With their next selection, the team can go a variety of places, and it all depends on who and what is available at that spot. There is almost no spot on this team that couldn’t use an upgrade at some place.

                Personally, if it were up to me, I would go after either cornerback or guard. However, guards you can always add with middle round selections, and the Lions have a good number of those. At this spot, I would think the Lions would be wise to go with Alphonso Smith, the cornerback from Wake Forest. He may be somewhat undersized, but he’s intelligent, a ball hawk, and a playmaker. And he’s good value here in the later part of round one.   

So, with the twenty second selection in the 2009 NFL Draft, the Detroit Lions select Alphonso Smith, DB, Wake Forest.

                With their second round selection, the Lions need to start addressing their line position. There will be a slew of quality players available at these spots at the top of the second round. If I were the Lions, I would look defense, and I would want to find someone who could rush the passer. This really doesn’t take nearly as long as the first round selections. If the Lions can develop some semblance of a pass rush, their entire defense will become that much better. With that in mind, I think the Lions look at Florida State end Everette Brown. He’s quick off the end, and has the size to hold up. The junior, should he declare, is a first day selection, and could possibly move into the bottom part of the first round.

With the first selection in the second round of the 2009 NFL Draft, the Detroit Lions select Everette Brown, DE, Florida State.

With their top selection in the third round, I look at position of weakness, or the potential to pick up a steal. In doing so, I look at Travis Beckum, the tight end from Wisconsin. A first round talent who broke his leg near the end of the college season will have had almost 6 months to recover from the injury when the time comes for the draft (this pick is assuming he recovers from the injury), and will have had a good amount of time to recover from the injury. He could be a steal should the leg heal, and would be good value here. The Detroit Lions are horrid at the tight end position, and could really use help in a playmaking tight end.

With the first selection of the third round of the 2009 NFL Draft, the Detroit Lions select Travis Beckum, TE, Wisconsin.

With their second selection in the third round, quite simply, I look at the receiver position. This team, beyond Calvin Johnson, really doesn’t have a whole lot to be impressed with. They need another receiver.  There is value in another Georgia guy, as they look at Mohammed Massaqoui. Not the fastest guy, but he’s got good hands, and has been playing at a high level for four years. He’s good size, and would be a good target for Stafford either as their number 2 receiver, or as their slot guy on third downs.  

With their second selection in the third round of the 2009 NFL Draft, the Detroit Lions select Mohammed Massaqoui, WR, Georgia.

If the Lions are able to come out of the first round with a quarterback, wide receiver, tight end, defensive end, and cornerback, I think we can assume this draft could yield success down the road for the team. In the later parts of the draft, they can look at offensive line depth, maybe another corner, and someone who can return kicks to help the special teams.

All right, that covers the first three rounds of the draft. I’ll go in depth in the end of the draft, as well as possible free agents. Until then, have a good one.

 

11/22/08

 

By: Darin Ackerman

 

Is the Third Time a Charm for Motown’s Quarterback Carousel?

 

Although the Lions horrific winless season can no doubt be attributed to many different factors, it’s hard to dispute that poor talent evaluation by maligned former GM Matt Millen has probably been the single biggest cause.  And while the league’s worst defense is certainly bearing the brunt of Millen’s personnel miscues, most successful franchises begin and end with good, consistent quarterback play – something the Lions haven’t had since the days of Bobby Lane.  Four different quarterbacks have been used this season, which certainly is related to the Lions 2008 “run to none.”

 

Jon Kitna, who enjoyed two 4000-plus yard seasons under the Martz regime, was never the answer.  Averaging two turnovers per game, Kitna is not and never will be a legitimate starter in the league.  The decision to place Kitna on IR whether he was seriously injured or not was a good move, although a cowardly way of dealing with a personnel situation.

 

The fact that the Lions never seized the opportunity to get four-year backup Dan Orlovsky playing time in any one of their four blowout losses (32 points or more) last season essentially made him a rookie when he stepped in for Kitna.  Prior to his start in game five, the fifth round UConn product had thrown a total of 17 passes during his tenure with the Lions.  With fans were screaming for local Farmington Hills and MSU product Drew Stanton, Orlovsky actually still played well in what could be considered the first four games of his “rookie” season.  During the span of weeks six through nine, Orlovsky finished with 930 yards, five touchdowns, two interceptions and showed marked improvement in every game.  (Note to Lion fan who decided after four games that Orlovsky wasn’t the answer: Some of the best quarterbacks in league history enjoyed much worse numbers during their first four games in the league.)  Bad seasons, however, only get worse - Orlovsky suffered a broken thumb injury vs. Chicago and has been forced to sit out the last two games.

 

While the Lions faithful eagerly anticipated the arrival of Stanton, the Lions’ brass had other plans and quickly signed street free agent Daunte Culpepper, who had only played eleven games in the past two years.  A former three-time pro bowl quarterback, Culpepper has not been the same since after suffering a serious knee injury during the 2005 season.  With the stink of the Millen era still lingering in Allen Park, the Lions think tank decided it was better to start Culpepper after only three days of practice instead of last year’s second round pick, Stanton.  Granted, while Stanton did lose a year of development after finding himself in the Martz doghouse, he did attend offseason workouts; training camp and play in the preseason which is slightly more than three days of practice, last time I checked.

 

As Orlovsky sits on the bench and Culpepper shakes the rust off, the Lions continue to have no idea whether Stanton could be their quarterback of the future or another wasted pick of the Millen regime.  No doubt interim GM Martin Mayhew and Coach Marinelli think the more experienced Culpepper gives them the best possible chance to salvage their careers by winning a few games in what is already a lost season.  That decision is selfish and short-sighted.

 

It’s not likely Drew Stanton is going to be able to play much worse than Culpepper has, but if he doesn’t show promise then at least we’ll know they haven’t resolved the quarterback issue heading into the draft.  The franchise would be better served letting Stanton start three or four of the remaining six games to see how he does, with the promising Orlovsky returning to finish the last three games of the season.  Doing so would provide the future GM, who just by virtue of not being Matt Millen should have some semblance of player evaluation skills, a chance to see these two young quarterbacks in live game situations.  But that would be the smart thing to do, and smart hasn’t been seen or heard from for a long time in Allen Park.


11/14/08

By: John McCarty

Will 2008 ever get better?
Will 2009 ever come?

If ever there was a franchise at a crossroads, the Lions certainly fit the bill. Without a general manager (some would say the franchise has been without that for an extended period of time), and with a coach that certainly won’t return next season, the future couldn’t be more uncertain.

There are certainly more questions than there are answers at this point, though a big one has already been answered. With Matt Millen having been fired, who will step in to replace him?? It’s anybody’s guess at this point. However, here is what we do know.

The Lions are a bad football team. Actually, they are wretched, but, really, when you haven’t won a game all season, and the second half of your schedule includes the likes of Tennessee, Minnesota, and New Orleans coming to Detroit, and road games at Indianapolis and Green Bay, you know this team is in trouble. Needless to say, I think it’s safe to say the Lions won’t be waiting long to make their pick in the 2009 NFL Draft.

As we enter the home stretch of the 2008 season, the time has come for the Lions to start to look towards the future. They first must find themselves a general manager. Personally, I would go after Scott Pioli, the ‘other’ guy in the building of the Patriots. He’s got firsthand knowledge of building a winner with less than stellar talent, and comes from a franchise that has done nothing but win this decade. The franchise, along with a  competent general manager, needs someone who is a winner (Look at the change in Miami, simply from a change in attitude).

Secondly, the team really needs an infusion of talent. Much like the Kansas City Chiefs did last year, the Lions, more than anything else, need to get quantity (of course, when you’re this bad, you’re going to have a shot at quality as well) . The two first round picks are nice, and will certainly help to rebuild this franchise. The picks they acquired for Roy Williams were a major gain for a team in need of help.

Lastly, this team needs to identify the players they want to build around, and who should stick around. Get rid of the players that don’t fit the bill, and lock up the players that do. Start bringing in players that help, and building up the depth of the franchise through the draft.

My next article will tackle the draft, as many Lions fans have already turned their attention to April, but here are a few thoughts for the future in regards to the Lions moves come April. Stay tuned.

 

 



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