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Future
Classes
Player
Rankings
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Fantasy Rookie Rankings
Quarterbacks:
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1) Alex Smith -
San Francisco 49ers |
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- Alex Smith was the first pick in last
April's NFL Draft and looks to be the favorite for the
starting quarterback spot with the 49ers. While he may
be the "best" option as far as fantasy stats go for rookie
quarterbacks, he isn't necessarily a good play, at least not
for the first half of the season. Smith doesn't have
much talent at the wide receiver position, although tight
end Eric Johnson will provides a strong target. Expect
Smith to look to Johnson early and often as he gets his feet
wet in the NFL. None of the QBs in this class deserve
to be picked early. |
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2) Andrew
Walter - Oakland Raiders |
- Kerry Collins is the clear starting
quarterback for the Raiders, but should he go down, you would be wise to jump
all over Walter who would be a better option than Tuiasosopo as his replacement.
Walter has a big arm and could put up huge numbers in a fairly simply offense
which would be little more than throwing the ball downfield to Moss and Porter.
LaMont Jordan (starting RB) also possesses good hands and could turn into a
threat out of the backfield. Walter isn't worth drafting, but if he's in a
position to start, you should seriously consider him.
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3) Jason
Campbell - Washington Redskins |
- We're talking about Dan Snyder and the
Washington Redskins here, so anything's possible, even Campbell getting the
starting nod in game 1 (it's extremely unlikely, but wouldn't be the strangest
move that the Redskins have made in past years). Campbell is a smart
passer with good accuracy and touch on throws in the short to intermediate
range. He's also a threat to run and has the speed to make plays on the
ground. Patrick Ramsey is the likely starter, but you can expect
Campbell to get his fair share of time under center later on this season.
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4) Charlie
Frye - Cleveland Browns |
- I'll be the first to admit that the
Trent Dilfer signing never made a whole lot of sense to me. He's the kind
of quarterback who can manage games, but the Browns need a quarterback who can
win games for them. Dilfer may be a safe starter, but he's not that guy.
Expect the Browns to go with Frye once they're out of contention this season in
order to shorting his learning curve. Just don't expect him to put up big
numbers for you.
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5) Adrian
McPherson - New Orleans Saints |
- The Saints feel like they got a real
steal in the middle of the fifth round with McPherson and we tend to agree.
While it would be ideal to keep Adrian on the bench for a year and a half or so,
Aaron Brooks is anything but reliable and if this team is out of contention, the
smart play could be to go to McPherson. Playing in the AFL last season, he
showed real poise and maturity under center while putting up monster numbers for
anyone in that league, none the less a kid as young as he is. He combines
a strong arm with running back speed.
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Running Backs
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1) Ronnie
Brown - Miami Dolphins |
- Brown is a strange
player in the sense that he's going to be starting for the first time since high
school and it's in the NFL, rather than in college. He's a big back with
exceptional speed and solid hands. I think that Brown's more vulnerable to
the rookie wall than most due to the fact that he's never had a season where he
took all that much of a pounding. I'd predict that he starts the season
very strong, but look for a little valley, production wise after week 9 or 10.
If Ricky Williams can make a successful comeback, it would really help Ronnie
out.
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2)
Carnell Williams - Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
- Williams comes into a good spot here in
that he has second year stud Mike Clayton and a solid passing game to take
pressure off of him. Having added 15 pounds since he played for Auburn,
Williams is ready to handle the load for the Bucs this season. A slashing
runner, look for the team to get Williams involved in the passing game as well.
He's got to be an early offensive rookie of the year favorite.
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3) Cedric
Benson - Chicago Bears |
- I was tempted to drop Benson below
Arrington due to whispers that Cedric's holdout could be a long one.
Benson is an Emmitt Smith type of runner who is fearless between the tackles and
hits the hole quickly. One thing that could work against Benson is the
fact that the Bears passing game will struggle to achieve the level of average.
Right now they have unproven players in Rex Grossman and Bobby Wade in the
starting lineup. Granted they did bring Mushin Muhammad to start opposite
Wade, but a year older, and in this offense he won't come close to his numbers
from last season.
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4) J.J.
Arrington - Arizona Cardinals |
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Arrington is the "in" pick for offensive
rookie of the year right. He's got
little to no competition for the spot (I
know Shipp's coming back from an injury,
and I stick to my previous statement)
and should get tons of playtime early.
He does have a number of things going
against him however. Arrington
isn't built like an everydown back and
right now the Cardinals offensive line
looks downright awful, which has the
potential to ruin the entire offense.
Quarterback Kurt Warner looks to return
to form after a few forgettable seasons,
but considering the weakness of the
offensive line, it's fair to expect that
he'll get hit early and often.
When that happens, Warner tends to
crumble. If teams can key in on
Arrington, he'll struggle.
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5) Frank
Gore - San Francisco 49ers |
- Personally I don't understand the move
myself, but it looks like the 49ers are serious about giving Gore a real shot at
the starting running back position to start the season. Maybe they haven't
heard about the devastating knee injuries which Gore suffered that took away
most of his speed, I don't know. 2 injuries ago Gore looked to be on his
way to becoming one of the best running backs in college football. Maybe
he's past the injuries now and perhaps he'll return to his old form.
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Wide Receivers
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1) Troy
Williamson - Minnesota Vikings |
- Williamson is in a great position to
come in and make a huge impact off the bat. He's a speed guy, thrust into
an offense that will give him ample opportunities to make plays down the field.
Troy should get every chance to start from the first day of camp and if he
develops chemistry quickly with quarterback Daunte Culpepper he should rack up
the yards this season.
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2) Mark
Clayton - Baltimore Ravens |
- Clayton is the most polished of the
rookie receivers this year and while he's currently behind a number of players
on the depth chart there's no reason to believe that he won't work his way up to
at least #3 fairly quickly, possibly #2, depending on how Clarence Moore plays
during training camp and in the pre-season. Clayton is a smooth route
runner who catches the ball cleanly and excels after the catch.
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3)
Braylon Edwards - Cleveland Browns |
- Edwards should probably be higher on
this list, but the fact is there's a number of things working against him coming
into this season. First of all, he's playing with a so-so quarterback in
Trent Dilfer, without Kellen Wilslow Jr., behind an average offensive line, and
has only an average-ish running game to occupy the defense. The moment he
was drafted Edwards became the best player on the offense and a target for other
teams. Taking all these factors into consideration, it's not fair to
expect huge numbers from Edwards this season.
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4) Mike
Williams - Detroit Lions |
- Where Braylon Edwards could see his
production suffer from having to few weapons around him, Williams could see his
production suffer from having to many offensive standouts around him. 2004
rookies Roy Williams and Kevin Jones look to take their games to the next level
this season and 2003 rookie Charlie Rogers is hoping to bounce back from a pair
of shoulder injuries. With all that said, Williams is an exceptional
redzone option and will certainly see his fair share of balls.
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5) Mark
Bradley - Chicago Bears |
- No self-respecting NFL team should be
willing to go into the season with Bobby Wade as a starting wide receiver.
Bradley was overlooked playing with Mark Clayton and Travis Wilson at Oklahoma,
but certainly has the physical tools to make it in the NFL. He's a strong
receiver with above average speed and good body control. He probably won't
start right away, but look for him to crack the line-up before to long.
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Tight Ends
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1) Heath
Miller - Pittsburgh Steelers |
- The Steelers lost Plaxico Burress to the
Giants this off-season and that didn't effect anyone more-so than Ben
Roethlisberger. Burress was Ben's go-to guy last season and now look for
Miller to fill that void. Miller has very good hands and above average
speed at the tight end position. He excels at finding soft spots in the
defense and making himself a big target. There's no better friend to a
young quarterback than smart, pass catching tight end, and Miller is just that.
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2) Alex
Smith - Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
- From a potential fantasy perspective,
there is a huge drop-off right after Heath Miller. Smith is the next best
option, but he'll start the season on the bench as free agent acquisition
Anthony Becht starts at tight end for the Buccaneers. Look for Smith to
get his fair share of playtime in obvious passing situations as he's a
considerably better receiving option than is Becht.
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3) Joel
Dreessen - New York Jets |
- We're going deep into the sleepers list
here with Dreessen. Joel is an accomplished receiver, but is playing
behind a guy (Doug Jolley) that the team gave up a high draft pick to acquire.
If Jolley goes down, Dreessen could step right in without missing a beat.
But only pick him up if Jolley's hurt.
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1) David
Pollack - Cincinnati Bengals |
- It looks like the Bengals are planning
on playing the former Georgia standout at outside linebacker in a 3-4 defense,
but they also have the ability to shift him to defensive end when they're
running a conventional 4-3. Pollack is a high motor playing who holds up
pretty well against the run, but specializes in getting to the quarterback.
This is a risky move because of the transition he has to make, but there's no
one else worth slotting here.
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2)
Erasmus James - Minnesota Vikings |
- You'd have to think that it's not going
to take James very long to overtake Darrion Scott for the starting spot at right
defensive end. James is a pass rushing terror who should get to the
quarterback a good amount as a rookie. The one thing you have to worry
about is James' history of letting mild injuries nag him all season. He's
the definition of a risk-reward player.
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3) Marcus
Spears - Dallas Cowboys |
- Things are getting a little short here.
Spears looks to start at defensive end in the Cowboys new 3-4 defense.
Historically, 3-4 defensive ends are run stuffers whose job is to keep offensive
lineman off of their linebackers. With that said, Spears has a chance to
rack up a few sacks and a decent amount of tackles from his down-lineman spot.
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1)
DeMarcus Ware - Dallas Cowboys |
- DeMarcus Ware was born to play the rush
linebacker position in a 3-4 defense. He combines good speed and power
with an uncanny ability to get to the quarterback and make plays in the
backfield. 3-4 outside linebackers have a shorter learning curve than
other positions because they're duties are pretty cut and dry; get into the
backfield and disrupt the opposing offense. This was an exceptional pick
for the Cowboys and look for big numbers from Ware this season.
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2)
Derrick Johnson - Kansas City Chiefs |
- The multi-talented Derrick Johnson is in
a good position with the Chiefs, in that they're willing to turn him loose and
let him make plays. He's an exceptional athlete who can play the pass and
make plays behind the line of scrimmage. Look for the defensive rookie of
the year battle to come down to a two man race between Derrick Johnson and
DeMarcus Ware.
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3) Shawne
Merriman - San Diego Chargers |
- Yet another 3-4 outside linebacker here
with Merriman. A very good athlete, Shawne has the skills to make an
impact at the National Football League level. He won't add much in
coverage and he's more suited to go after the quarterback. He'll run very
hot and cold as a rookie, looking like an All-Pro one game and then looking lost
the next.
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4) Kevin
Burnett - Tennessee Titans |
- It seems like every other player on this
list is a member of the Dallas Cowboys' rookie class. Burnett is more NFL
ready then most of the players on this list. He's a student of the game
who should come in and compete for an inside linebacker position right away,
although he has the ability to play anywhere on the line. At ILB he'd be a
tackling machine.
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5) Darryl
Blackstock - Arizona Cardinals |
- Blackstock, more than any other player
on this list, is a real boom or bust guy. He played linebacker in a 3-4
defense at Virginia and now has to switch to a 4-3 defense. He's got only
James Darling in front of him, so look for Darryl to get on the field very early
in his career. Like some of the others here, Blackstock won't offer much
in pass coverage, but he has the skills to make an impact if he's turned loose
after the QB.
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1)
Thomas Davis - Carolina Panthers |
- Davis is a versatile player who can play
either outside linebacker or strong safety for the Panthers. In fact, he
should see time in both positions in different packages. You can expect
solid tackle numbers right away and a surprising amount of interceptions due to
the level of the players around him.
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2)
Carlos
Rogers - Washington Redskins |
- Carlos is the most polished of the
rookie cornerbacks and should start from the first day he's at camp. He
has very good speed and ball skills, as well as a willingness to get up and make
a tackle in the open field. It's not out of the question that he'll put up
numbers similar to Dunta Robinson last season.
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3) Adam
"Pac Man" Jones - Tennessee Titans |
- Jones was one of the three fastest
players in this year's draft class and he uses that speed well on the field.
Adam has smooth hips that allow him to stick with wide receivers. He's
prone to overplaying and gambling on balls in hopes of making a big play, which
is bad in the real world, but helps to increase fantasy numbers, as long as the
team keeps him on the field.
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4) Justin
Miller - New York Jets |
- Miller is currently listed as the top
back-up at the Jets right cornerback position and it's fair to assume that he'll
see a decent amount of time on the field this season in nickel and dime
packages. What adds to Miller's value are his skills in the return game.
He's dangerous as both a kick and punt returner.
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5)
Brodney Poole - Cleveland Browns |
- Poole is a safety by trade but the
Browns are giving him a look at cornerback as well. He's a tall player
with good ball skills and above average make-up speed. He catches the ball
well for a defensive back and times his jumps well. Any rookie defensive
back will be a gamble, but he should produce a bit.
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Kickers
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1) Mike
Nugent - New York Jets |
- The Jets thought enough of Nugent to
take him in the early part of the second round of the draft. Nugent
combines good leg strength with very good accuracy and has a reputation for not
allowing his nerves to get the best of him, which could be the thing seperates
him from last year's highest drafted kicker (and mild bust) Nate Keading of the
San Diego Chargers.
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